Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency shows a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, promoting clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon insolation that favors a Tokyo maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. This setup underpins the market-implied 73 percent probability for that leading outcome, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Model guidance highlights strong daytime heating potential but carries typical uncertainty from subtle variations in cloud cover or ridge position. Traders will watch the next JMA update for any revisions ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日东京气温最高？
5月18日东京气温最高？
28°C or higher 76%
27°C 21%
26°C 4.2%
25°C 1.0%
最新
$40,999 交易量
最新
$40,999 交易量
2026-05-18
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
21%
28°C or higher
76%
28°C or higher 76%
27°C 21%
26°C 4.2%
25°C 1.0%
最新
$40,999 交易量
最新
$40,999 交易量
2026-05-18
18°C or below
$3,106 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,432 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,081 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,264 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,918 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,398 交易量
<1%
24°C
$15,812 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,842 交易量
1%
26°C
$3,917 交易量
4%
27°C
$2,423 交易量
21%
28°C or higher
$3,811 交易量
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency shows a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, promoting clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon insolation that favors a Tokyo maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. This setup underpins the market-implied 73 percent probability for that leading outcome, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Model guidance highlights strong daytime heating potential but carries typical uncertainty from subtle variations in cloud cover or ridge position. Traders will watch the next JMA update for any revisions ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$40,999结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency shows a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, promoting clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon insolation that favors a Tokyo maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. This setup underpins the market-implied 73 percent probability for that leading outcome, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Model guidance highlights strong daytime heating potential but carries typical uncertainty from subtle variations in cloud cover or ridge position. Traders will watch the next JMA update for any revisions ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$40,999结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency shows a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, promoting clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon insolation that favors a Tokyo maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. This setup underpins the market-implied 73 percent probability for that leading outcome, well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Model guidance highlights strong daytime heating potential but carries typical uncertainty from subtle variations in cloud cover or ridge position. Traders will watch the next JMA update for any revisions ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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