Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 15?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$63,387 交易量
$63,387 交易量
2026-05-15
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$63,387 交易量
$63,387 交易量
2026-05-15
15°C or below
$2,925 交易量
No
16°C
$1,385 交易量
No
17°C
$3,204 交易量
No
18°C
$6,071 交易量
No
19°C
$9,954 交易量
No
20°C
$9,312 交易量
Yes
21°C
$7,834 交易量
No
22°C
$6,803 交易量
No
23°C
$9,453 交易量
No
24°C
$3,234 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$3,212 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$63,387结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$63,387结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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