Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$49,154 交易量
$49,154 交易量
2026-05-16
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$49,154 交易量
$49,154 交易量
2026-05-16
6°C or below
$2,911 交易量
No
7°C
$865 交易量
No
8°C
$607 交易量
No
9°C
$1,394 交易量
No
10°C
$1,099 交易量
No
11°C
$5,073 交易量
No
12°C
$6,831 交易量
No
13°C
$13,035 交易量
Yes
14°C
$9,217 交易量
No
15°C
$4,643 交易量
No
16°C or higher
$3,478 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$49,154结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$49,154结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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