Recent successful debuts like Cerebras Systems' May 2026 listing have reopened the IPO window for large AI and tech firms, boosting trader confidence in multiple outcomes before 2027. SpaceX and Anthropic stand out with high implied probabilities, driven by robust private valuations exceeding $100 billion, surging AI demand, and executive signals favoring liquidity events in late 2026. OpenAI and Databricks show lower odds due to extended private funding rounds and cautious timelines, though competitive pressures from model releases and infrastructure needs could accelerate plans. Key catalysts ahead include potential S-1 filings, earnings momentum, and regulatory clarity on AI oversight that may influence market conditions through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$6,209,972 交易量
2026-12-31
Cerebras
100%
SpaceX
95%
Anthropic
67%
Discord
52%
远程
31%
OpenAI
30%
Deel
21%
SHEIN
16%
Mistral AI
16%
Anduril
15%
Applied Intuition
15%
Rippling
14%
Databricks
14%
Ledger
14%
Freddie Mac
13%
字节跳动
13%
Glean
12%
房利美
12%
WHOOP
10%
Ramp
11%
Anduril Industries
10%
Epic Games
9%
瑞波实验室
9%
Vanta
9%
Stripe
9%
Celonis
8%
Revolut
7%
Anysphere（Cursor）
7%
Waymo
6%
Canva
5%
Brex
1%
$6,209,972 交易量
Cerebras
$423,432 交易量
100%
SpaceX
$576,291 交易量
95%
Anthropic
$227,206 交易量
67%
Discord
$445,900 交易量
52%
远程
$54,425 交易量
31%
OpenAI
$233,016 交易量
30%
Deel
$121,843 交易量
21%
SHEIN
$78,463 交易量
16%
Mistral AI
$148,593 交易量
16%
Anduril
$351,752 交易量
15%
Applied Intuition
$191,750 交易量
15%
Rippling
$117,247 交易量
14%
Databricks
$468,057 交易量
14%
Ledger
$510,096 交易量
14%
Freddie Mac
$244,611 交易量
13%
字节跳动
$10,540 交易量
13%
Glean
$44,644 交易量
12%
房利美
$161,500 交易量
12%
WHOOP
$178 交易量
10%
Ramp
$144,037 交易量
11%
Anduril Industries
$31,515 交易量
10%
Epic Games
$73,978 交易量
9%
瑞波实验室
$145,652 交易量
9%
Vanta
$130,411 交易量
9%
Stripe
$250,205 交易量
9%
Celonis
$207,861 交易量
8%
Revolut
$56,710 交易量
7%
Anysphere（Cursor）
$97,073 交易量
7%
Waymo
$52,189 交易量
6%
Canva
$35,656 交易量
5%
Brex
$214,478 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Recent successful debuts like Cerebras Systems' May 2026 listing have reopened the IPO window for large AI and tech firms, boosting trader confidence in multiple outcomes before 2027. SpaceX and Anthropic stand out with high implied probabilities, driven by robust private valuations exceeding $100 billion, surging AI demand, and executive signals favoring liquidity events in late 2026. OpenAI and Databricks show lower odds due to extended private funding rounds and cautious timelines, though competitive pressures from model releases and infrastructure needs could accelerate plans. Key catalysts ahead include potential S-1 filings, earnings momentum, and regulatory clarity on AI oversight that may influence market conditions through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
交易量
$6,209,972结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Recent successful debuts like Cerebras Systems' May 2026 listing have reopened the IPO window for large AI and tech firms, boosting trader confidence in multiple outcomes before 2027. SpaceX and Anthropic stand out with high implied probabilities, driven by robust private valuations exceeding $100 billion, surging AI demand, and executive signals favoring liquidity events in late 2026. OpenAI and Databricks show lower odds due to extended private funding rounds and cautious timelines, though competitive pressures from model releases and infrastructure needs could accelerate plans. Key catalysts ahead include potential S-1 filings, earnings momentum, and regulatory clarity on AI oversight that may influence market conditions through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,209,972结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent successful debuts like Cerebras Systems' May 2026 listing have reopened the IPO window for large AI and tech firms, boosting trader confidence in multiple outcomes before 2027. SpaceX and Anthropic stand out with high implied probabilities, driven by robust private valuations exceeding $100 billion, surging AI demand, and executive signals favoring liquidity events in late 2026. OpenAI and Databricks show lower odds due to extended private funding rounds and cautious timelines, though competitive pressures from model releases and infrastructure needs could accelerate plans. Key catalysts ahead include potential S-1 filings, earnings momentum, and regulatory clarity on AI oversight that may influence market conditions through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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