Recent stability in U.S. services activity around the 54 level, with July’s ISM Services PMI at 54.1 and June at 54.0, anchors trader expectations for the August 2026 reading near the closely matched 53.0–53.9 and 54.0–54.9 ranges. Sustained expansion in business activity and new orders, supported by domestic demand and event-driven spending, continues to support moderate growth, while employment remains mixed and price pressures stay elevated amid tariffs and commodity costs. The absence of major data surprises or policy shifts ahead of the September 3 release keeps outcomes tightly contested, with sub-52 or above-56 readings priced at low probability given the sector’s recent resilience and the 12-month average near 53.4.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于54.0–54.9 32%
53.0–53.9 29%
55.0–55.9 16%
52.0–52.9 16%
$23,036 交易量
$23,036 交易量
<50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
1%
51.0–51.9
1%
52.0–52.9
16%
53.0–53.9
29%
54.0–54.9
32%
55.0–55.9
16%
56.0–56.9
2%
57.0–57.9
2%
58.0+
1%
54.0–54.9 32%
53.0–53.9 29%
55.0–55.9 16%
52.0–52.9 16%
$23,036 交易量
$23,036 交易量
<50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
1%
51.0–51.9
1%
52.0–52.9
16%
53.0–53.9
29%
54.0–54.9
32%
55.0–55.9
16%
56.0–56.9
2%
57.0–57.9
2%
58.0+
1%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Recent stability in U.S. services activity around the 54 level, with July’s ISM Services PMI at 54.1 and June at 54.0, anchors trader expectations for the August 2026 reading near the closely matched 53.0–53.9 and 54.0–54.9 ranges. Sustained expansion in business activity and new orders, supported by domestic demand and event-driven spending, continues to support moderate growth, while employment remains mixed and price pressures stay elevated amid tariffs and commodity costs. The absence of major data surprises or policy shifts ahead of the September 3 release keeps outcomes tightly contested, with sub-52 or above-56 readings priced at low probability given the sector’s recent resilience and the 12-month average near 53.4.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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