Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu's overnight minimum on August 25 near 24–26°C, consistent with August climatology of 22–26°C lows amid the humid subtropical regime of the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any clearer intervals or light winds could allow slightly lower readings. Trader probabilities cluster tightly on 24–27°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which directly influence how much the temperature falls before dawn. Historical analogs and recent model consensus indicate these thresholds capture the most probable range, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of strong cold advection or prolonged clear skies this late in the season.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日成都最低气温？
8月25日成都最低气温？
30°C or higher 43%
20°C or below 42%
25°C 30%
26°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
20°C or below
42%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
24%
25°C
30%
26°C
29%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
43%
30°C or higher 43%
20°C or below 42%
25°C 30%
26°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
20°C or below
$145 交易量
42%
21°C
$145 交易量
<1%
22°C
$80 交易量
1%
23°C
$26 交易量
13%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
30%
26°C
$0 交易量
29%
27°C
$10 交易量
22%
28°C
$29 交易量
8%
29°C
$125 交易量
5%
30°C or higher
$70 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu's overnight minimum on August 25 near 24–26°C, consistent with August climatology of 22–26°C lows amid the humid subtropical regime of the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any clearer intervals or light winds could allow slightly lower readings. Trader probabilities cluster tightly on 24–27°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which directly influence how much the temperature falls before dawn. Historical analogs and recent model consensus indicate these thresholds capture the most probable range, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of strong cold advection or prolonged clear skies this late in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$630结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu's overnight minimum on August 25 near 24–26°C, consistent with August climatology of 22–26°C lows amid the humid subtropical regime of the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any clearer intervals or light winds could allow slightly lower readings. Trader probabilities cluster tightly on 24–27°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which directly influence how much the temperature falls before dawn. Historical analogs and recent model consensus indicate these thresholds capture the most probable range, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of strong cold advection or prolonged clear skies this late in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$630结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu's overnight minimum on August 25 near 24–26°C, consistent with August climatology of 22–26°C lows amid the humid subtropical regime of the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any clearer intervals or light winds could allow slightly lower readings. Trader probabilities cluster tightly on 24–27°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which directly influence how much the temperature falls before dawn. Historical analogs and recent model consensus indicate these thresholds capture the most probable range, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of strong cold advection or prolonged clear skies this late in the season.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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