Persistent heat dome influence and southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico are sustaining overnight lows near 80°F in Houston, aligning with climatological norms for late August where daily minima typically range 77–80°F absent frontal passages. Official NWS guidance and model consensus show no significant cooling mechanisms—such as dry air advection or cloud cover reducing radiative cooling—through August 24, keeping the probability of readings below 75°F low despite market-implied odds favoring 69°F or below. The closely matched 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins reflect trader assessment of minor variability from urban heat island effects, localized showers, or slight model spread in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Upcoming evening observations and any revised NHC or NOAA guidance on regional pressure gradients remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日休斯顿最低温度?
69°F或更低 60%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
70-71°F <1%
69°F或更低
60%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
62%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
69°F或更低 60%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
70-71°F <1%
69°F或更低
60%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
62%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent heat dome influence and southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico are sustaining overnight lows near 80°F in Houston, aligning with climatological norms for late August where daily minima typically range 77–80°F absent frontal passages. Official NWS guidance and model consensus show no significant cooling mechanisms—such as dry air advection or cloud cover reducing radiative cooling—through August 24, keeping the probability of readings below 75°F low despite market-implied odds favoring 69°F or below. The closely matched 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins reflect trader assessment of minor variability from urban heat island effects, localized showers, or slight model spread in dew points and wind patterns that could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Upcoming evening observations and any revised NHC or NOAA guidance on regional pressure gradients remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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