Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日迈阿密最低气温？
8月4日迈阿密最低气温？
76-77°F 100.0%
74-75°F 8%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
$14,515 交易量
$14,515 交易量
2026-08-04
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
74-75°F 8%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
$14,515 交易量
$14,515 交易量
2026-08-04
69°F or below
$567 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$1,988 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$1,595 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,100 交易量
8%
76-77°F
$2,127 交易量
100%
78-79°F
$2,618 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,469 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$1,218 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,040 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$427 交易量
<1%
88°F or higher
$367 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
交易量
$14,515结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,515结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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