The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F或更低 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 交易量
$26,221 交易量
2026-05-15
67°F或更低
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
是
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
No
86°F或更高
否
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F或更低 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 交易量
$26,221 交易量
2026-05-15
67°F或更低
$973 交易量
否
68-69°F
$890 交易量
否
70-71°F
$1,655 交易量
No
72-73°F
$2,615 交易量
是
74-75°F
$5,126 交易量
No
76-77°F
$4,113 交易量
No
78-79°F
$2,052 交易量
否
80-81°F
$2,309 交易量
否
82-83°F
$960 交易量
否
84-85°F
$902 交易量
No
86°F或更高
$4,625 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
交易量
$26,221结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$26,221结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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