Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers currently converge on overnight lows near 12–14°C in Munich on September 14, driven by a passing frontal system bringing clouds and light rain that limits radiational cooling. This places the market-implied distribution across closely matched buckets from 9°C or below through the mid-teens, reflecting model spread in timing of clearing and exact minimum timing. Historical September averages near 10°C provide baseline context, yet persistent moisture and light winds favor values above recent record lows. Traders monitor the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus official Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance for any shift in the overnight minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日慕尼黑最低气温?
9°C或以下 56%
19°C或更高 55%
11°C 38%
16°C 38%
9°C或以下
56%
10°C
16%
11°C
38%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
26%
15°C
22%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C或更高
55%
9°C或以下 56%
19°C或更高 55%
11°C 38%
16°C 38%
9°C或以下
56%
10°C
16%
11°C
38%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
26%
15°C
22%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C或更高
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers currently converge on overnight lows near 12–14°C in Munich on September 14, driven by a passing frontal system bringing clouds and light rain that limits radiational cooling. This places the market-implied distribution across closely matched buckets from 9°C or below through the mid-teens, reflecting model spread in timing of clearing and exact minimum timing. Historical September averages near 10°C provide baseline context, yet persistent moisture and light winds favor values above recent record lows. Traders monitor the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus official Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance for any shift in the overnight minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题