Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area and the Korea Meteorological Administration’s highest-level warnings, are driving the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for a 28°C low. Strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling below typical early-August minima of 22–23°C, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such a revision unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
28°C 95.1%
27°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$13,339 交易量
$13,339 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
95%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 95.1%
27°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$13,339 交易量
$13,339 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
95%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area and the Korea Meteorological Administration’s highest-level warnings, are driving the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied odds for a 28°C low. Strong subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and elevated humidity are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling below typical early-August minima of 22–23°C, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 27–28°C at Incheon International Airport. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such a revision unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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