Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Taipei will see a daily minimum temperature of 25–26°C on September 13, driven by typical subtropical conditions with easterly winds, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C (78–79°F) after daytime highs of 31–35°C, consistent with September climatology and the absence of stronger cooling influences such as enhanced monsoon flow or clear-sky radiative losses. This consensus underpins the 87% market-implied probability for a 26°C low, while lower thresholds like 21°C or below carry just 13% odds given the warm baseline and model agreement on minimal overnight drops. Updated model runs and official observations through the day will confirm the precise minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日台北气温最低？
9月13日台北气温最低？
26°C 87%
24°C 24%
23°C 19%
22°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
21°C或以下
9%
22°C
17%
23°C
19%
24°C
24%
25°C
11%
26°C
87%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 87%
24°C 24%
23°C 19%
22°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
9%
22°C
$0 交易量
17%
23°C
$0 交易量
19%
24°C
$15 交易量
24%
25°C
$106 交易量
11%
26°C
$57 交易量
87%
27°C
$159 交易量
<1%
28°C
$25 交易量
<1%
29°C
$25 交易量
<1%
30°C
$25 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Taipei will see a daily minimum temperature of 25–26°C on September 13, driven by typical subtropical conditions with easterly winds, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C (78–79°F) after daytime highs of 31–35°C, consistent with September climatology and the absence of stronger cooling influences such as enhanced monsoon flow or clear-sky radiative losses. This consensus underpins the 87% market-implied probability for a 26°C low, while lower thresholds like 21°C or below carry just 13% odds given the warm baseline and model agreement on minimal overnight drops. Updated model runs and official observations through the day will confirm the precise minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$437结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Taipei will see a daily minimum temperature of 25–26°C on September 13, driven by typical subtropical conditions with easterly winds, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C (78–79°F) after daytime highs of 31–35°C, consistent with September climatology and the absence of stronger cooling influences such as enhanced monsoon flow or clear-sky radiative losses. This consensus underpins the 87% market-implied probability for a 26°C low, while lower thresholds like 21°C or below carry just 13% odds given the warm baseline and model agreement on minimal overnight drops. Updated model runs and official observations through the day will confirm the precise minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$437结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Taipei will see a daily minimum temperature of 25–26°C on September 13, driven by typical subtropical conditions with easterly winds, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing near 25–26°C (78–79°F) after daytime highs of 31–35°C, consistent with September climatology and the absence of stronger cooling influences such as enhanced monsoon flow or clear-sky radiative losses. This consensus underpins the 87% market-implied probability for a 26°C low, while lower thresholds like 21°C or below carry just 13% odds given the warm baseline and model agreement on minimal overnight drops. Updated model runs and official observations through the day will confirm the precise minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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