The solidly Democratic partisan lean of New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, combined with the strong position of incumbent Teresa Leger Fernández, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory. The Cook Partisan Voting Index rates the seat D+3, and nonpartisan analysts have assigned it a Solid Democratic outlook ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primary filings closed in February with limited Republican opposition emerging, and no significant polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the district's baseline in recent weeks. Upcoming June 2 primaries will finalize nominees, but structural factors such as historical vote margins and the absence of competitive challengers continue to shape expectations for the general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
90%
共和党
11%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$0 交易量
90%
共和党
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic partisan lean of New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, combined with the strong position of incumbent Teresa Leger Fernández, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory. The Cook Partisan Voting Index rates the seat D+3, and nonpartisan analysts have assigned it a Solid Democratic outlook ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primary filings closed in February with limited Republican opposition emerging, and no significant polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the district's baseline in recent weeks. Upcoming June 2 primaries will finalize nominees, but structural factors such as historical vote margins and the absence of competitive challengers continue to shape expectations for the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic partisan lean of New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, combined with the strong position of incumbent Teresa Leger Fernández, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory. The Cook Partisan Voting Index rates the seat D+3, and nonpartisan analysts have assigned it a Solid Democratic outlook ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primary filings closed in February with limited Republican opposition emerging, and no significant polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the district's baseline in recent weeks. Upcoming June 2 primaries will finalize nominees, but structural factors such as historical vote margins and the absence of competitive challengers continue to shape expectations for the general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic partisan lean of New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, combined with the strong position of incumbent Teresa Leger Fernández, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory. The Cook Partisan Voting Index rates the seat D+3, and nonpartisan analysts have assigned it a Solid Democratic outlook ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primary filings closed in February with limited Republican opposition emerging, and no significant polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the district's baseline in recent weeks. Upcoming June 2 primaries will finalize nominees, but structural factors such as historical vote margins and the absence of competitive challengers continue to shape expectations for the general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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