The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election for New York's 7th House seat. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the race, yet the June 23 Democratic primary among frontrunners Antonio Reynoso, Claire Valdez, and Julie Won will select the nominee in this solidly progressive Brooklyn-Queens area where prior Democratic margins routinely exceeded 70 percent. The Republican side features only Melvin Rivera with minimal fundraising and no recent polling support, leaving scant path to competitiveness. A Democratic nominee could face realistic challenges only through an unforeseen post-primary scandal, sharply depressed turnout, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment that overcomes the district's structural partisan advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,940 交易量
$18,940 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$18,940 交易量
$18,940 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,097 交易量
94%
共和党
$7,843 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election for New York's 7th House seat. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the race, yet the June 23 Democratic primary among frontrunners Antonio Reynoso, Claire Valdez, and Julie Won will select the nominee in this solidly progressive Brooklyn-Queens area where prior Democratic margins routinely exceeded 70 percent. The Republican side features only Melvin Rivera with minimal fundraising and no recent polling support, leaving scant path to competitiveness. A Democratic nominee could face realistic challenges only through an unforeseen post-primary scandal, sharply depressed turnout, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment that overcomes the district's structural partisan advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$18,940结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election for New York's 7th House seat. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the race, yet the June 23 Democratic primary among frontrunners Antonio Reynoso, Claire Valdez, and Julie Won will select the nominee in this solidly progressive Brooklyn-Queens area where prior Democratic margins routinely exceeded 70 percent. The Republican side features only Melvin Rivera with minimal fundraising and no recent polling support, leaving scant path to competitiveness. A Democratic nominee could face realistic challenges only through an unforeseen post-primary scandal, sharply depressed turnout, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment that overcomes the district's structural partisan advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,940结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+25, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election for New York's 7th House seat. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the race, yet the June 23 Democratic primary among frontrunners Antonio Reynoso, Claire Valdez, and Julie Won will select the nominee in this solidly progressive Brooklyn-Queens area where prior Democratic margins routinely exceeded 70 percent. The Republican side features only Melvin Rivera with minimal fundraising and no recent polling support, leaving scant path to competitiveness. A Democratic nominee could face realistic challenges only through an unforeseen post-primary scandal, sharply depressed turnout, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment that overcomes the district's structural partisan advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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