New York’s 7th congressional district carries one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Assembly member Claire Valdez, who prevailed by a substantial margin in an open seat previously held by long-serving Democrat Nydia Velázquez. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, and prediction markets show the Republican nominee with negligible support. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge that overcomes the district’s structural advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,856 交易量
$29,856 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$29,856 交易量
$29,856 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$15,452 交易量
96%
共和党
$14,404 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district carries one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Assembly member Claire Valdez, who prevailed by a substantial margin in an open seat previously held by long-serving Democrat Nydia Velázquez. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, and prediction markets show the Republican nominee with negligible support. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge that overcomes the district’s structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$29,856结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district carries one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Assembly member Claire Valdez, who prevailed by a substantial margin in an open seat previously held by long-serving Democrat Nydia Velázquez. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, and prediction markets show the Republican nominee with negligible support. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge that overcomes the district’s structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,856结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 7th congressional district carries one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+25 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Assembly member Claire Valdez, who prevailed by a substantial margin in an open seat previously held by long-serving Democrat Nydia Velázquez. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, and prediction markets show the Republican nominee with negligible support. These fundamentals underpin trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national Republican surge that overcomes the district’s structural advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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