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icon for 2028年总统选举获胜者

2028年总统选举获胜者

icon for 2028年总统选举获胜者

2028年总统选举获胜者

JD Vance 18.6%

加文·纽瑟姆 16.7%

马尔科·鲁比奥 13.9%

卡马拉·哈里斯 6.7%

Polymarket

$585,229,997 交易量

JD Vance 18.6%

加文·纽瑟姆 16.7%

马尔科·鲁比奥 13.9%

卡马拉·哈里斯 6.7%

Polymarket

$585,229,997 交易量

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$12,098,814 交易量

19%

icon for 加文·纽瑟姆

加文·纽瑟姆

$16,414,963 交易量

17%

icon for 马尔科·鲁比奥

马尔科·鲁比奥

$9,870,367 交易量

14%

icon for 卡马拉·哈里斯

卡马拉·哈里斯

$7,455,070 交易量

7%

icon for 亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯

亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯

$11,454,945 交易量

5%

icon for 乔恩·奥索夫

乔恩·奥索夫

$4,214,902 交易量

3%

icon for 分组项标题:塔克·卡尔森

分组项标题:塔克·卡尔森

$11,078,175 交易量

3%

icon for 乔什·沙皮罗

乔什·沙皮罗

$6,414,959 交易量

3%

icon for 罗恩·德桑蒂斯

罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$10,946,008 交易量

3%

icon for 唐纳德·特朗普

唐纳德·特朗普

$7,865,715 交易量

2%

icon for 彼得·布蒂吉格

彼得·布蒂吉格

$4,424,912 交易量

2%

icon for 安迪·贝塞尔

安迪·贝塞尔

$18,251,537 交易量

2%

icon for 道恩·“巨石”强森

道恩·“巨石”强森

$6,989,662 交易量

2%

icon for 唐纳德·特朗普二世

唐纳德·特朗普二世

$12,260,996 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项标题:JB Pritzker

分组项标题:JB Pritzker

$11,749,511 交易量

1%

icon for 托马斯·马西

托马斯·马西

$5,102,935 交易量

1%

icon for 埃隆·马斯克

埃隆·马斯克

$24,080,422 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项标题:格雷琴·惠特默

分组项标题:格雷琴·惠特默

$10,468,496 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项目标题:伊万卡·特朗普

分组项目标题:伊万卡·特朗普

$6,402,940 交易量

1%

icon for 斯蒂芬·史密斯

斯蒂芬·史密斯

$31,010,008 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项标题:杰米·戴蒙

分组项标题:杰米·戴蒙

$8,956,546 交易量

1%

icon for 格雷格·阿博特

格雷格·阿博特

$33,047,489 交易量

1%

icon for 米歇尔·奥巴马

米歇尔·奥巴马

$14,942,310 交易量

1%

icon for 尼基·黑利

尼基·黑利

$24,295,292 交易量

1%

icon for 罗·卡纳

罗·卡纳

$8,326,021 交易量

1%

icon for 詹姆斯·塔拉里科

詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$5,535,257 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项标题:韦斯·摩尔

分组项标题:韦斯·摩尔

$9,301,843 交易量

1%

icon for 格伦·杨金

格伦·杨金

$23,983,448 交易量

1%

icon for 图尔西·加巴德

图尔西·加巴德

$30,209,448 交易量

1%

icon for 维克·拉马斯瓦米

维克·拉马斯瓦米

$33,188,289 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项标题:Zohran Mamdani

分组项标题:Zohran Mamdani

$19,432,448 交易量

1%

icon for 分组条目标题:蒂姆·沃尔茨

分组条目标题:蒂姆·沃尔茨

$41,298,821 交易量

1%

icon for 勒布朗·詹姆斯

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$50,393,509 交易量

1%

icon for 皮特·海格塞斯

皮特·海格塞斯

$6,185,070 交易量

1%

icon for 金·卡戴珊

金·卡戴珊

$35,583,569 交易量

1%

icon for 埃里克·特朗普

埃里克·特朗普

$11,996,701 交易量

1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The 2028 presidential election field remains wide open with no dominant contender, as reflected in the closely matched trader consensus around JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, and Marco Rubio. This early fragmentation stems from the absence of an incumbent, ongoing positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms, and a broad array of potential nominees testing national viability through public statements and party roles. Factors sustaining the tight probabilities include uncertainty over primary dynamics, shifting voter coalitions in swing states, and the impact of future polling averages or endorsements. Events such as official candidate launches, major legislative votes, or midterm results could quickly widen gaps by establishing clearer paths to nomination for either party.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$585,229,997
结束日期
2028-11-07
市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The 2028 presidential election field remains wide open with no dominant contender, as reflected in the closely matched trader consensus around JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, and Marco Rubio. This early fragmentation stems from the absence of an incumbent, ongoing positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms, and a broad array of potential nominees testing national viability through public statements and party roles. Factors sustaining the tight probabilities include uncertainty over primary dynamics, shifting voter coalitions in swing states, and the impact of future polling averages or endorsements. Events such as official candidate launches, major legislative votes, or midterm results could quickly widen gaps by establishing clearer paths to nomination for either party.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$585,229,997
结束日期
2028-11-07
市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2028年总统选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 36 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"JD Vance",概率为 19%,其次是"加文·纽瑟姆",概率为 17%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 19¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 19%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2028年总统选举获胜者"已产生 $585.2 million 的总交易量(自Jul 11, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2028年总统选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 36 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2028年总统选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"JD Vance",概率为 19%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 19%。紧随其后的结果是"加文·纽瑟姆",概率为 17%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2028年总统选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。