Recent polling shows a competitive multi-party contest for Quebec’s October 5 general election, with the Parti Québécois leading but facing challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and others amid voter fatigue and key issues such as housing, healthcare, and U.S. trade tensions. Historical turnout in the 2022 election reached 66.15 percent, establishing a baseline near the market’s leading ranges. A tight race across 127 ridings on the new electoral map, combined with expanded advance voting and registration periods, could encourage participation, while persistent low engagement among younger and certain demographic groups may offset gains. Trader consensus clusters around 62-70 percent because these countervailing mobilization and structural factors remain balanced with limited time left before polling day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于66-70% 28%
62-66% 21%
70-74% 20%
58-62% 16%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
低于58%
10%
58-62%
16%
62-66%
21%
66-70%
28%
70-74%
20%
74%及以上
16%
66-70% 28%
62-66% 21%
70-74% 20%
58-62% 16%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
低于58%
$294 交易量
10%
58-62%
$53 交易量
16%
62-66%
$48 交易量
21%
66-70%
$75 交易量
28%
70-74%
$39 交易量
20%
74%及以上
$151 交易量
16%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Recent polling shows a competitive multi-party contest for Quebec’s October 5 general election, with the Parti Québécois leading but facing challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and others amid voter fatigue and key issues such as housing, healthcare, and U.S. trade tensions. Historical turnout in the 2022 election reached 66.15 percent, establishing a baseline near the market’s leading ranges. A tight race across 127 ridings on the new electoral map, combined with expanded advance voting and registration periods, could encourage participation, while persistent low engagement among younger and certain demographic groups may offset gains. Trader consensus clusters around 62-70 percent because these countervailing mobilization and structural factors remain balanced with limited time left before polling day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
交易量
$660结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Recent polling shows a competitive multi-party contest for Quebec’s October 5 general election, with the Parti Québécois leading but facing challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and others amid voter fatigue and key issues such as housing, healthcare, and U.S. trade tensions. Historical turnout in the 2022 election reached 66.15 percent, establishing a baseline near the market’s leading ranges. A tight race across 127 ridings on the new electoral map, combined with expanded advance voting and registration periods, could encourage participation, while persistent low engagement among younger and certain demographic groups may offset gains. Trader consensus clusters around 62-70 percent because these countervailing mobilization and structural factors remain balanced with limited time left before polling day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$660结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETRecent polling shows a competitive multi-party contest for Quebec’s October 5 general election, with the Parti Québécois leading but facing challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and others amid voter fatigue and key issues such as housing, healthcare, and U.S. trade tensions. Historical turnout in the 2022 election reached 66.15 percent, establishing a baseline near the market’s leading ranges. A tight race across 127 ridings on the new electoral map, combined with expanded advance voting and registration periods, could encourage participation, while persistent low engagement among younger and certain demographic groups may offset gains. Trader consensus clusters around 62-70 percent because these countervailing mobilization and structural factors remain balanced with limited time left before polling day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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