Fabio Roscioli holds the clearest lead in trader consensus for the September 27-28 by-election in the Reggio Calabria single-member constituency because he is the official Forza Italia candidate backed by the centre-right coalition that dominates the district. The seat opened after Francesco Cannizzaro resigned following his election as metropolitan mayor, and the area has historically delivered strong support for FI and its allies. Domenico Giannetta’s candidacy for National Future, endorsed by Roberto Vannacci, has split some centre-right support and accounts for his secondary pricing. Frank Benedetto, the converging centre-left choice, trails further amid the coalition’s weaker local base. Francesco Toscano and other listed names register minimal implied probability, reflecting limited organizational strength or late entry. With voting weeks away and turnout typically low in by-elections, traders are pricing the established centre-right advantage while noting risks from vote fragmentation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法比奥·罗西奥利 72%
多梅尼科·贾内塔 13%
弗兰克·贝内代托 7%
弗朗切斯科·托斯卡诺 4.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-28
法比奥·罗西奥利
72%
多梅尼科·贾内塔
13%
弗兰克·贝内代托
17%
弗朗切斯科·托斯卡诺
5%
法比奥·罗西奥利 72%
多梅尼科·贾内塔 13%
弗兰克·贝内代托 7%
弗朗切斯科·托斯卡诺 4.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-28
法比奥·罗西奥利
$140 交易量
72%
多梅尼科·贾内塔
$99 交易量
13%
弗兰克·贝内代托
$319 交易量
17%
弗朗切斯科·托斯卡诺
$94 交易量
5%
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).Fabio Roscioli holds the clearest lead in trader consensus for the September 27-28 by-election in the Reggio Calabria single-member constituency because he is the official Forza Italia candidate backed by the centre-right coalition that dominates the district. The seat opened after Francesco Cannizzaro resigned following his election as metropolitan mayor, and the area has historically delivered strong support for FI and its allies. Domenico Giannetta’s candidacy for National Future, endorsed by Roberto Vannacci, has split some centre-right support and accounts for his secondary pricing. Frank Benedetto, the converging centre-left choice, trails further amid the coalition’s weaker local base. Francesco Toscano and other listed names register minimal implied probability, reflecting limited organizational strength or late entry. With voting weeks away and turnout typically low in by-elections, traders are pricing the established centre-right advantage while noting risks from vote fragmentation.
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$652结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ETA by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).Fabio Roscioli holds the clearest lead in trader consensus for the September 27-28 by-election in the Reggio Calabria single-member constituency because he is the official Forza Italia candidate backed by the centre-right coalition that dominates the district. The seat opened after Francesco Cannizzaro resigned following his election as metropolitan mayor, and the area has historically delivered strong support for FI and its allies. Domenico Giannetta’s candidacy for National Future, endorsed by Roberto Vannacci, has split some centre-right support and accounts for his secondary pricing. Frank Benedetto, the converging centre-left choice, trails further amid the coalition’s weaker local base. Francesco Toscano and other listed names register minimal implied probability, reflecting limited organizational strength or late entry. With voting weeks away and turnout typically low in by-elections, traders are pricing the established centre-right advantage while noting risks from vote fragmentation.
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
交易量
$652结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ETFabio Roscioli holds the clearest lead in trader consensus for the September 27-28 by-election in the Reggio Calabria single-member constituency because he is the official Forza Italia candidate backed by the centre-right coalition that dominates the district. The seat opened after Francesco Cannizzaro resigned following his election as metropolitan mayor, and the area has historically delivered strong support for FI and its allies. Domenico Giannetta’s candidacy for National Future, endorsed by Roberto Vannacci, has split some centre-right support and accounts for his secondary pricing. Frank Benedetto, the converging centre-left choice, trails further amid the coalition’s weaker local base. Francesco Toscano and other listed names register minimal implied probability, reflecting limited organizational strength or late entry. With voting weeks away and turnout typically low in by-elections, traders are pricing the established centre-right advantage while noting risks from vote fragmentation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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