Alibaba's Qwen series, particularly the newly launched Qwen3.8-Max and established Qwen3.7-Max variants, drives the 66.8% market-implied odds for third place through consistent top-five finishes on Code Arena's WebDev leaderboard. These models have demonstrated strong agentic coding, tool use, and frontend task performance, recently outperforming entries from OpenAI and Google while trailing only select Anthropic systems. Trader consensus reflects this momentum amid ongoing Chinese lab competition from Moonshot's Kimi K3 and DeepSeek's releases, with lower probabilities for U.S. labs underscoring Alibaba's recent benchmark gains. With resolution imminent at month's end, any additional leaderboard shifts from model updates could influence final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿里巴巴 66.8%
Moonshot 25.9%
Z.ai 4.5%
DeepSeek 2.0%
$45,053 交易量
$45,053 交易量
2026-08-31
阿里巴巴
67%
Moonshot
26%
Z.ai
5%
DeepSeek
2%
Meta
2%
OpenAI
2%
谷歌
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
Anthropic
1%
字节跳动
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
小米
<1%
Thinky
<1%
腾讯
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
阿里巴巴 66.8%
Moonshot 25.9%
Z.ai 4.5%
DeepSeek 2.0%
$45,053 交易量
$45,053 交易量
2026-08-31
阿里巴巴
$10,922 交易量
67%
Moonshot
$5,235 交易量
26%
Z.ai
$3,164 交易量
5%
DeepSeek
$1,192 交易量
2%
Meta
$1,134 交易量
2%
OpenAI
$15,303 交易量
2%
谷歌
$1,236 交易量
2%
SpaceXAI
$2,058 交易量
1%
Anthropic
$1,011 交易量
1%
字节跳动
$738 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$463 交易量
<1%
小米
$421 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$535 交易量
<1%
腾讯
$490 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$452 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$698 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba's Qwen series, particularly the newly launched Qwen3.8-Max and established Qwen3.7-Max variants, drives the 66.8% market-implied odds for third place through consistent top-five finishes on Code Arena's WebDev leaderboard. These models have demonstrated strong agentic coding, tool use, and frontend task performance, recently outperforming entries from OpenAI and Google while trailing only select Anthropic systems. Trader consensus reflects this momentum amid ongoing Chinese lab competition from Moonshot's Kimi K3 and DeepSeek's releases, with lower probabilities for U.S. labs underscoring Alibaba's recent benchmark gains. With resolution imminent at month's end, any additional leaderboard shifts from model updates could influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$45,053结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba's Qwen series, particularly the newly launched Qwen3.8-Max and established Qwen3.7-Max variants, drives the 66.8% market-implied odds for third place through consistent top-five finishes on Code Arena's WebDev leaderboard. These models have demonstrated strong agentic coding, tool use, and frontend task performance, recently outperforming entries from OpenAI and Google while trailing only select Anthropic systems. Trader consensus reflects this momentum amid ongoing Chinese lab competition from Moonshot's Kimi K3 and DeepSeek's releases, with lower probabilities for U.S. labs underscoring Alibaba's recent benchmark gains. With resolution imminent at month's end, any additional leaderboard shifts from model updates could influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$45,053结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETAlibaba's Qwen series, particularly the newly launched Qwen3.8-Max and established Qwen3.7-Max variants, drives the 66.8% market-implied odds for third place through consistent top-five finishes on Code Arena's WebDev leaderboard. These models have demonstrated strong agentic coding, tool use, and frontend task performance, recently outperforming entries from OpenAI and Google while trailing only select Anthropic systems. Trader consensus reflects this momentum amid ongoing Chinese lab competition from Moonshot's Kimi K3 and DeepSeek's releases, with lower probabilities for U.S. labs underscoring Alibaba's recent benchmark gains. With resolution imminent at month's end, any additional leaderboard shifts from model updates could influence final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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