Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference on June 16-17 marks his debut as Federal Reserve chair following his May 22 swearing-in. Traders are focused on whether he will signal continuity in the current policy stance amid rising inflation, or outline shifts toward greater strategic ambiguity and fewer forward commitments. His Senate confirmation testimony stressed Fed independence, a reform-oriented approach, and keeping monetary policy separate from fiscal or social goals. The accompanying Summary of Economic Projections update could reveal early changes in the committee’s inflation and growth outlook. Recent hawkish commentary from officials and external pressures from energy prices add to the attention on how Warsh frames any rate decision or communication adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-06-18
Inflation 40+ times
57%
Inflation 50+ times
50%
Inflation 60+ times
27%
Job 15+ times
49%
Jerome / Powell
77%
Trump
18%
Rate / Cut
89%
Money
26%
Good Afternoon
71%
Depression / Recession
39%
Chair
78%
FED
66%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
74%
Crypto / Bitcoin
31%
Balance Sheet
71%
Dual Mandate
80%
Goods Inflation
35%
Stock
21%
I Don't Know
39%
Downside
36%
Trend
32%
Stable / Stability
68%
Job Market
57%
Maximum Employment
52%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
42%
Groupthink / Group Think
47%
Asymmetric
41%
$2,591 交易量
Inflation 40+ times
$30 交易量
57%
Inflation 50+ times
$0 交易量
50%
Inflation 60+ times
$0 交易量
27%
Job 15+ times
$0 交易量
49%
Jerome / Powell
$19 交易量
77%
Trump
$2,364 交易量
18%
Rate / Cut
$33 交易量
89%
Money
$0 交易量
26%
Good Afternoon
$34 交易量
71%
Depression / Recession
$0 交易量
39%
Chair
$5 交易量
78%
FED
$0 交易量
66%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
$10 交易量
74%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$45 交易量
31%
Balance Sheet
$8 交易量
71%
Dual Mandate
$5 交易量
80%
Goods Inflation
$0 交易量
35%
Stock
$0 交易量
21%
I Don't Know
$30 交易量
39%
Downside
$0 交易量
36%
Trend
$0 交易量
32%
Stable / Stability
$6 交易量
68%
Job Market
$0 交易量
57%
Maximum Employment
$0 交易量
52%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
$1 交易量
42%
Groupthink / Group Think
$1 交易量
47%
Asymmetric
$0 交易量
41%
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference on June 16-17 marks his debut as Federal Reserve chair following his May 22 swearing-in. Traders are focused on whether he will signal continuity in the current policy stance amid rising inflation, or outline shifts toward greater strategic ambiguity and fewer forward commitments. His Senate confirmation testimony stressed Fed independence, a reform-oriented approach, and keeping monetary policy separate from fiscal or social goals. The accompanying Summary of Economic Projections update could reveal early changes in the committee’s inflation and growth outlook. Recent hawkish commentary from officials and external pressures from energy prices add to the attention on how Warsh frames any rate decision or communication adjustments.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
市场开放时间： Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
交易量
$2,591结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference on June 16-17 marks his debut as Federal Reserve chair following his May 22 swearing-in. Traders are focused on whether he will signal continuity in the current policy stance amid rising inflation, or outline shifts toward greater strategic ambiguity and fewer forward commitments. His Senate confirmation testimony stressed Fed independence, a reform-oriented approach, and keeping monetary policy separate from fiscal or social goals. The accompanying Summary of Economic Projections update could reveal early changes in the committee’s inflation and growth outlook. Recent hawkish commentary from officials and external pressures from energy prices add to the attention on how Warsh frames any rate decision or communication adjustments.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
交易量
$2,591结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference on June 16-17 marks his debut as Federal Reserve chair following his May 22 swearing-in. Traders are focused on whether he will signal continuity in the current policy stance amid rising inflation, or outline shifts toward greater strategic ambiguity and fewer forward commitments. His Senate confirmation testimony stressed Fed independence, a reform-oriented approach, and keeping monetary policy separate from fiscal or social goals. The accompanying Summary of Economic Projections update could reveal early changes in the committee’s inflation and growth outlook. Recent hawkish commentary from officials and external pressures from energy prices add to the attention on how Warsh frames any rate decision or communication adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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