Kurdish leaders in the Kurdistan Regional Government are prioritizing coordination with Iraq’s federal authorities in Baghdad amid ongoing political deadlock and regional security pressures. Recent outreach by KRG President Nechirvan Barzani and Prime Minister Masrour Barzani to the incoming government under Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi reflects efforts to resolve budget, oil export, and customs disputes through established federal channels rather than separation. Internal divisions between the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan have delayed regional government formation for over 18 months, while statements from Erbil continue to emphasize de-escalation and Iraq’s territorial integrity amid cross-border tensions with Iran. Absent any official parliamentary resolution, referendum call, or diplomatic campaign for sovereignty, traders assess a declaration by year-end as highly improbable given historical precedent from the rejected 2017 vote and current institutional focus on stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$52,813 交易量
$52,813 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$52,813 交易量
$52,813 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kurdish leaders in the Kurdistan Regional Government are prioritizing coordination with Iraq’s federal authorities in Baghdad amid ongoing political deadlock and regional security pressures. Recent outreach by KRG President Nechirvan Barzani and Prime Minister Masrour Barzani to the incoming government under Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi reflects efforts to resolve budget, oil export, and customs disputes through established federal channels rather than separation. Internal divisions between the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan have delayed regional government formation for over 18 months, while statements from Erbil continue to emphasize de-escalation and Iraq’s territorial integrity amid cross-border tensions with Iran. Absent any official parliamentary resolution, referendum call, or diplomatic campaign for sovereignty, traders assess a declaration by year-end as highly improbable given historical precedent from the rejected 2017 vote and current institutional focus on stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$52,813结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kurdish leaders in the Kurdistan Regional Government are prioritizing coordination with Iraq’s federal authorities in Baghdad amid ongoing political deadlock and regional security pressures. Recent outreach by KRG President Nechirvan Barzani and Prime Minister Masrour Barzani to the incoming government under Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi reflects efforts to resolve budget, oil export, and customs disputes through established federal channels rather than separation. Internal divisions between the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan have delayed regional government formation for over 18 months, while statements from Erbil continue to emphasize de-escalation and Iraq’s territorial integrity amid cross-border tensions with Iran. Absent any official parliamentary resolution, referendum call, or diplomatic campaign for sovereignty, traders assess a declaration by year-end as highly improbable given historical precedent from the rejected 2017 vote and current institutional focus on stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$52,813结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kurdish leaders in the Kurdistan Regional Government are prioritizing coordination with Iraq’s federal authorities in Baghdad amid ongoing political deadlock and regional security pressures. Recent outreach by KRG President Nechirvan Barzani and Prime Minister Masrour Barzani to the incoming government under Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi reflects efforts to resolve budget, oil export, and customs disputes through established federal channels rather than separation. Internal divisions between the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan have delayed regional government formation for over 18 months, while statements from Erbil continue to emphasize de-escalation and Iraq’s territorial integrity amid cross-border tensions with Iran. Absent any official parliamentary resolution, referendum call, or diplomatic campaign for sovereignty, traders assess a declaration by year-end as highly improbable given historical precedent from the rejected 2017 vote and current institutional focus on stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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