Recent internal political deadlock within the Kurdistan Regional Government has dominated developments, with parliamentary elections held in October 2024 yet yielding no new cabinet after more than 18 months of negotiations between the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan. This stalemate has shifted priorities toward caretaker governance, economic stabilization through U.S. energy agreements, and de-escalation amid Iranian missile strikes on Kurdish positions in early 2026. KRG officials have repeatedly affirmed commitment to Iraq’s constitutional framework and federal relations rather than unilateral sovereignty moves. Traders’ strong consensus against a declaration by year-end reflects the absence of any official referendum plans, legislative actions, or statements from Erbil leadership that would indicate momentum toward independence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$52,813 交易量
$52,813 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$52,813 交易量
$52,813 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent internal political deadlock within the Kurdistan Regional Government has dominated developments, with parliamentary elections held in October 2024 yet yielding no new cabinet after more than 18 months of negotiations between the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan. This stalemate has shifted priorities toward caretaker governance, economic stabilization through U.S. energy agreements, and de-escalation amid Iranian missile strikes on Kurdish positions in early 2026. KRG officials have repeatedly affirmed commitment to Iraq’s constitutional framework and federal relations rather than unilateral sovereignty moves. Traders’ strong consensus against a declaration by year-end reflects the absence of any official referendum plans, legislative actions, or statements from Erbil leadership that would indicate momentum toward independence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$52,813结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent internal political deadlock within the Kurdistan Regional Government has dominated developments, with parliamentary elections held in October 2024 yet yielding no new cabinet after more than 18 months of negotiations between the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan. This stalemate has shifted priorities toward caretaker governance, economic stabilization through U.S. energy agreements, and de-escalation amid Iranian missile strikes on Kurdish positions in early 2026. KRG officials have repeatedly affirmed commitment to Iraq’s constitutional framework and federal relations rather than unilateral sovereignty moves. Traders’ strong consensus against a declaration by year-end reflects the absence of any official referendum plans, legislative actions, or statements from Erbil leadership that would indicate momentum toward independence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$52,813结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent internal political deadlock within the Kurdistan Regional Government has dominated developments, with parliamentary elections held in October 2024 yet yielding no new cabinet after more than 18 months of negotiations between the Kurdistan Democratic Party and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan. This stalemate has shifted priorities toward caretaker governance, economic stabilization through U.S. energy agreements, and de-escalation amid Iranian missile strikes on Kurdish positions in early 2026. KRG officials have repeatedly affirmed commitment to Iraq’s constitutional framework and federal relations rather than unilateral sovereignty moves. Traders’ strong consensus against a declaration by year-end reflects the absence of any official referendum plans, legislative actions, or statements from Erbil leadership that would indicate momentum toward independence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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