AfD currently leads polling averages in Sachsen-Anhalt at around 41 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, well ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. In the state's proportional representation system, seats are distributed only among parties clearing the five-percent threshold, so AfD's projected share converts to roughly 40-45 percent of seats under current distributions. Multiple smaller parties, including the SPD and BSW near the threshold, continue to fragment the remainder and prevent an outright majority. Traders price the No outcome at 57.5 percent because a decisive surge past 48-50 percent or coordinated threshold failures would be required to shift the seat math before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,750 交易量
$30,750 交易量
2026-09-06
$30,750 交易量
$30,750 交易量
2026-09-06
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD currently leads polling averages in Sachsen-Anhalt at around 41 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, well ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. In the state's proportional representation system, seats are distributed only among parties clearing the five-percent threshold, so AfD's projected share converts to roughly 40-45 percent of seats under current distributions. Multiple smaller parties, including the SPD and BSW near the threshold, continue to fragment the remainder and prevent an outright majority. Traders price the No outcome at 57.5 percent because a decisive surge past 48-50 percent or coordinated threshold failures would be required to shift the seat math before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
交易量
$30,750结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD currently leads polling averages in Sachsen-Anhalt at around 41 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, well ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. In the state's proportional representation system, seats are distributed only among parties clearing the five-percent threshold, so AfD's projected share converts to roughly 40-45 percent of seats under current distributions. Multiple smaller parties, including the SPD and BSW near the threshold, continue to fragment the remainder and prevent an outright majority. Traders price the No outcome at 57.5 percent because a decisive surge past 48-50 percent or coordinated threshold failures would be required to shift the seat math before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$30,750结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...AfD currently leads polling averages in Sachsen-Anhalt at around 41 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, well ahead of the CDU at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent. In the state's proportional representation system, seats are distributed only among parties clearing the five-percent threshold, so AfD's projected share converts to roughly 40-45 percent of seats under current distributions. Multiple smaller parties, including the SPD and BSW near the threshold, continue to fragment the remainder and prevent an outright majority. Traders price the No outcome at 57.5 percent because a decisive surge past 48-50 percent or coordinated threshold failures would be required to shift the seat math before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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