European leaders from France, Germany, and the United Kingdom have maintained a consistent emphasis on defensive measures and diplomatic engagement since the February 2026 onset of U.S.-Israel military operations against Iran. Joint statements have condemned Iranian missile and drone attacks on regional allies while pledging only proportionate responses to protect navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and safeguard personnel, with deployments limited to naval assets and support for allied operations. Ongoing U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and nuclear negotiations through April have reinforced Europe's preference for de-escalation over direct strikes, reflecting institutional constraints and domestic political realities. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring no independent action by the June 30 deadline. A major Iranian attack on European forces or assets could still prompt a limited defensive response.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,377,722 交易量
$1,377,722 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,377,722 交易量
$1,377,722 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.European leaders from France, Germany, and the United Kingdom have maintained a consistent emphasis on defensive measures and diplomatic engagement since the February 2026 onset of U.S.-Israel military operations against Iran. Joint statements have condemned Iranian missile and drone attacks on regional allies while pledging only proportionate responses to protect navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and safeguard personnel, with deployments limited to naval assets and support for allied operations. Ongoing U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and nuclear negotiations through April have reinforced Europe's preference for de-escalation over direct strikes, reflecting institutional constraints and domestic political realities. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring no independent action by the June 30 deadline. A major Iranian attack on European forces or assets could still prompt a limited defensive response.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
交易量
$1,377,722结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.European leaders from France, Germany, and the United Kingdom have maintained a consistent emphasis on defensive measures and diplomatic engagement since the February 2026 onset of U.S.-Israel military operations against Iran. Joint statements have condemned Iranian missile and drone attacks on regional allies while pledging only proportionate responses to protect navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and safeguard personnel, with deployments limited to naval assets and support for allied operations. Ongoing U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and nuclear negotiations through April have reinforced Europe's preference for de-escalation over direct strikes, reflecting institutional constraints and domestic political realities. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring no independent action by the June 30 deadline. A major Iranian attack on European forces or assets could still prompt a limited defensive response.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,379,390结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...European leaders from France, Germany, and the United Kingdom have maintained a consistent emphasis on defensive measures and diplomatic engagement since the February 2026 onset of U.S.-Israel military operations against Iran. Joint statements have condemned Iranian missile and drone attacks on regional allies while pledging only proportionate responses to protect navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and safeguard personnel, with deployments limited to naval assets and support for allied operations. Ongoing U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and nuclear negotiations through April have reinforced Europe's preference for de-escalation over direct strikes, reflecting institutional constraints and domestic political realities. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring no independent action by the June 30 deadline. A major Iranian attack on European forces or assets could still prompt a limited defensive response.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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