European leaders from France, Germany, and the United Kingdom have consistently prioritized diplomatic negotiations and proportionate defensive measures amid ongoing regional tensions following U.S. and Israeli actions against Iran in early 2026. Joint statements since late February have condemned Iranian missile and drone attacks on allies while urging resumption of talks on Tehran's nuclear and ballistic programs, with deployments focused on securing navigation routes rather than offensive operations against Iranian soil. This stance reflects longstanding European preferences for multilateral diplomacy over direct military involvement, alongside domestic constraints and risks of broader energy market disruptions. A major Iranian strike targeting European assets or personnel remains the primary scenario that could still shift trader assessments before the June 30 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,384,539 交易量
$1,384,539 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,384,539 交易量
$1,384,539 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.European leaders from France, Germany, and the United Kingdom have consistently prioritized diplomatic negotiations and proportionate defensive measures amid ongoing regional tensions following U.S. and Israeli actions against Iran in early 2026. Joint statements since late February have condemned Iranian missile and drone attacks on allies while urging resumption of talks on Tehran's nuclear and ballistic programs, with deployments focused on securing navigation routes rather than offensive operations against Iranian soil. This stance reflects longstanding European preferences for multilateral diplomacy over direct military involvement, alongside domestic constraints and risks of broader energy market disruptions. A major Iranian strike targeting European assets or personnel remains the primary scenario that could still shift trader assessments before the June 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
交易量
$1,384,539结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.European leaders from France, Germany, and the United Kingdom have consistently prioritized diplomatic negotiations and proportionate defensive measures amid ongoing regional tensions following U.S. and Israeli actions against Iran in early 2026. Joint statements since late February have condemned Iranian missile and drone attacks on allies while urging resumption of talks on Tehran's nuclear and ballistic programs, with deployments focused on securing navigation routes rather than offensive operations against Iranian soil. This stance reflects longstanding European preferences for multilateral diplomacy over direct military involvement, alongside domestic constraints and risks of broader energy market disruptions. A major Iranian strike targeting European assets or personnel remains the primary scenario that could still shift trader assessments before the June 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,385,543结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...European leaders from France, Germany, and the United Kingdom have consistently prioritized diplomatic negotiations and proportionate defensive measures amid ongoing regional tensions following U.S. and Israeli actions against Iran in early 2026. Joint statements since late February have condemned Iranian missile and drone attacks on allies while urging resumption of talks on Tehran's nuclear and ballistic programs, with deployments focused on securing navigation routes rather than offensive operations against Iranian soil. This stance reflects longstanding European preferences for multilateral diplomacy over direct military involvement, alongside domestic constraints and risks of broader energy market disruptions. A major Iranian strike targeting European assets or personnel remains the primary scenario that could still shift trader assessments before the June 30 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题