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icon for Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

icon for Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$4,654,335 交易量

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$4,654,335 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s diplomatic calendar in mid-May 2026 centered on hosting U.S. President Donald Trump for a two-day summit in Beijing on May 14-15, which absorbed senior-level attention and left no window for a parallel leader meeting with Iranian officials. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi conducted talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on May 6-7 regarding regional security proposals, yet no escalation to Xi occurred despite ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and China’s four-point Gulf stability initiative. State media and official schedules gave no indication of an unannounced Iranian delegation reaching Beijing before the May 15 deadline. Only an unforeseen last-minute arrival could have altered the outcome, though such events are typically previewed publicly in advance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$4,654,335
结束日期
2026-05-15
市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s diplomatic calendar in mid-May 2026 centered on hosting U.S. President Donald Trump for a two-day summit in Beijing on May 14-15, which absorbed senior-level attention and left no window for a parallel leader meeting with Iranian officials. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi conducted talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on May 6-7 regarding regional security proposals, yet no escalation to Xi occurred despite ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and China’s four-point Gulf stability initiative. State media and official schedules gave no indication of an unannounced Iranian delegation reaching Beijing before the May 15 deadline. Only an unforeseen last-minute arrival could have altered the outcome, though such events are typically previewed publicly in advance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$4,654,335
结束日期
2026-05-15
市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 0¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

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"Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?"的当前概率为 0%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

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