Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows San Francisco coastal highs stabilizing near 68–70 °F for August 15, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69 °F (40.5 %) and 70–71 °F (24.5 %) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow driven by the eastern Pacific high-pressure ridge continue to suppress daytime heating, while cold-water upwelling along the coast maintains the typical August climatological ceiling around 70 °F. Ensemble consensus remains tight with limited spread, reflecting stable steering patterns and no approaching thermal trough that would allow interior heat to reach the shoreline. Updated runs through the morning of August 14 reinforced this narrow temperature range, supporting trader positioning around the 68–71 °F window ahead of tomorrow’s official high observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 15. August?
20-21°C 41%
21-22 °C 25%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 7%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
59°F oder niedriger
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64–65°F
7%
66-67°F
20%
20-21°C
41%
21-22 °C
25%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F oder höher
<1%
20-21°C 41%
21-22 °C 25%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 7%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
59°F oder niedriger
$348 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$63 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$493 Vol.
3%
64–65°F
$141 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$412 Vol.
20%
20-21°C
$147 Vol.
41%
21-22 °C
$381 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$446 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$268 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$381 Vol.
<1%
78°F oder höher
$429 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows San Francisco coastal highs stabilizing near 68–70 °F for August 15, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69 °F (40.5 %) and 70–71 °F (24.5 %) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow driven by the eastern Pacific high-pressure ridge continue to suppress daytime heating, while cold-water upwelling along the coast maintains the typical August climatological ceiling around 70 °F. Ensemble consensus remains tight with limited spread, reflecting stable steering patterns and no approaching thermal trough that would allow interior heat to reach the shoreline. Updated runs through the morning of August 14 reinforced this narrow temperature range, supporting trader positioning around the 68–71 °F window ahead of tomorrow’s official high observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$3,509Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows San Francisco coastal highs stabilizing near 68–70 °F for August 15, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69 °F (40.5 %) and 70–71 °F (24.5 %) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow driven by the eastern Pacific high-pressure ridge continue to suppress daytime heating, while cold-water upwelling along the coast maintains the typical August climatological ceiling around 70 °F. Ensemble consensus remains tight with limited spread, reflecting stable steering patterns and no approaching thermal trough that would allow interior heat to reach the shoreline. Updated runs through the morning of August 14 reinforced this narrow temperature range, supporting trader positioning around the 68–71 °F window ahead of tomorrow’s official high observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,509Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows San Francisco coastal highs stabilizing near 68–70 °F for August 15, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69 °F (40.5 %) and 70–71 °F (24.5 %) bins. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow driven by the eastern Pacific high-pressure ridge continue to suppress daytime heating, while cold-water upwelling along the coast maintains the typical August climatological ceiling around 70 °F. Ensemble consensus remains tight with limited spread, reflecting stable steering patterns and no approaching thermal trough that would allow interior heat to reach the shoreline. Updated runs through the morning of August 14 reinforced this narrow temperature range, supporting trader positioning around the 68–71 °F window ahead of tomorrow’s official high observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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