Forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and AccuWeather place the June 14 minimum near 26–28°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures and a lack of strong frontal systems or clear skies keep the floor elevated, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. Recent model runs show little downward revision, while historical June lows average around 27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that values below 27°C remain low-probability outliers absent an unexpected cold surge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. Juni?
27°C 68%
28°C 35.1%
26°C 17.5%
25°C 2.5%
$31,628 Vol.
$31,628 Vol.
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
75%
28°C
35%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 68%
28°C 35.1%
26°C 17.5%
25°C 2.5%
$31,628 Vol.
$31,628 Vol.
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
75%
28°C
35%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and AccuWeather place the June 14 minimum near 26–28°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures and a lack of strong frontal systems or clear skies keep the floor elevated, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. Recent model runs show little downward revision, while historical June lows average around 27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that values below 27°C remain low-probability outliers absent an unexpected cold surge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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