Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate the minimum temperature on May 16 will settle near 23°C under a moist southerly airstream that sustains high humidity and extensive cloud cover. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows aligned with typical mid-May subtropical baselines of 23–26°C. Recent observations from the official urban station show mid-20s readings, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect and an early-season warm anomaly that further anchors trader consensus at the 23°C outcome. Short-range model runs through the evening will provide final calibration before the official Hong Kong Observatory minimum is recorded. Clearer skies or a sharper trough passage could allow greater cooling and shift probabilities toward lower thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. Mai?
23°C 96%
22°C 1.7%
21°C <1%
18°C oder darunter <1%
$30,111 Vol.
$30,111 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
18°C oder darunter
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
96%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 96%
22°C 1.7%
21°C <1%
18°C oder darunter <1%
$30,111 Vol.
$30,111 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
18°C oder darunter
$1,786 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,125 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,048 Vol.
2%
23°C
$1,488 Vol.
96%
24°C
$3,465 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,199 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,204 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
28°C oder höher
$2,619 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate the minimum temperature on May 16 will settle near 23°C under a moist southerly airstream that sustains high humidity and extensive cloud cover. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows aligned with typical mid-May subtropical baselines of 23–26°C. Recent observations from the official urban station show mid-20s readings, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect and an early-season warm anomaly that further anchors trader consensus at the 23°C outcome. Short-range model runs through the evening will provide final calibration before the official Hong Kong Observatory minimum is recorded. Clearer skies or a sharper trough passage could allow greater cooling and shift probabilities toward lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$30,111Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate the minimum temperature on May 16 will settle near 23°C under a moist southerly airstream that sustains high humidity and extensive cloud cover. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows aligned with typical mid-May subtropical baselines of 23–26°C. Recent observations from the official urban station show mid-20s readings, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect and an early-season warm anomaly that further anchors trader consensus at the 23°C outcome. Short-range model runs through the evening will provide final calibration before the official Hong Kong Observatory minimum is recorded. Clearer skies or a sharper trough passage could allow greater cooling and shift probabilities toward lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$30,111Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETHong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate the minimum temperature on May 16 will settle near 23°C under a moist southerly airstream that sustains high humidity and extensive cloud cover. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows aligned with typical mid-May subtropical baselines of 23–26°C. Recent observations from the official urban station show mid-20s readings, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect and an early-season warm anomaly that further anchors trader consensus at the 23°C outcome. Short-range model runs through the evening will provide final calibration before the official Hong Kong Observatory minimum is recorded. Clearer skies or a sharper trough passage could allow greater cooling and shift probabilities toward lower thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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