Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts confirm a minimum temperature of 15°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to rain later, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in market-implied odds. This positioning stems from high model agreement across JMA's short-range guidance and global ensembles like ECMWF, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing colder air advection amid typical mid-May climatological lows of 14–18°C at Tokyo's observatory. Overnight observations already approaching this threshold further solidify sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing radiational cooling to 14°C or prolonged cloud cover preventing the low—though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely—with final JMA data expected by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 14. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 14. Mai?
15°C 100.0%
13°C oder darunter <1%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$45,016 Vol.
$45,016 Vol.
14. Mai 2026
13°C oder darunter
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Ja
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C oder höher
Nein
15°C 100.0%
13°C oder darunter <1%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
$45,016 Vol.
$45,016 Vol.
14. Mai 2026
13°C oder darunter
$3,157 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$2,941 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$1,150 Vol.
Ja
16°C
$9,271 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$7,424 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$14,849 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$2,411 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$793 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$1,337 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$758 Vol.
Nein
23°C oder höher
$924 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts confirm a minimum temperature of 15°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to rain later, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in market-implied odds. This positioning stems from high model agreement across JMA's short-range guidance and global ensembles like ECMWF, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing colder air advection amid typical mid-May climatological lows of 14–18°C at Tokyo's observatory. Overnight observations already approaching this threshold further solidify sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing radiational cooling to 14°C or prolonged cloud cover preventing the low—though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely—with final JMA data expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volumen
$45,016Enddatum
14. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts confirm a minimum temperature of 15°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to rain later, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in market-implied odds. This positioning stems from high model agreement across JMA's short-range guidance and global ensembles like ECMWF, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing colder air advection amid typical mid-May climatological lows of 14–18°C at Tokyo's observatory. Overnight observations already approaching this threshold further solidify sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing radiational cooling to 14°C or prolonged cloud cover preventing the low—though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely—with final JMA data expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$45,016Enddatum
14. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts confirm a minimum temperature of 15°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy skies transitioning to rain later, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in market-implied odds. This positioning stems from high model agreement across JMA's short-range guidance and global ensembles like ECMWF, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing colder air advection amid typical mid-May climatological lows of 14–18°C at Tokyo's observatory. Overnight observations already approaching this threshold further solidify sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear skies enhancing radiational cooling to 14°C or prolonged cloud cover preventing the low—though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely—with final JMA data expected by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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