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icon for Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Russland
Politik·Russland-Wahl

Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Russland

icon for Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Russland
Politik·Russland-Wahl

Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Russland

Einiges Russland (ER) 99.8%

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) <1%

Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP) <1%

Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) <1%

Polymarket

$4,967,563 Vol.

Einiges Russland (ER) 99.8%

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) <1%

Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP) <1%

Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) <1%

Polymarket

$4,967,563 Vol.

icon for Einiges Russland (ER)

Einiges Russland (ER)

$2,211,718 Vol.

100%

icon for Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)

$294,019 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)

Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)

$748,262 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)

Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)

$264,215 Vol.

<1%

icon for Neue Leute (NL)

Neue Leute (NL)

$267,803 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$505,710 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bürgerplattform (GP)

Bürgerplattform (GP)

$604,433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jabloko

Jabloko

$71,405 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the State Duma election market due to the party's strong performance in the three-day vote concluded on September 20, 2026, with preliminary results showing it ahead by a wide margin in both party-list and single-mandate contests. The tightly managed process, conducted amid ongoing conflict with Ukraine, featured only systemic opposition parties aligned with Kremlin positions on key issues, while independent or anti-war groups faced exclusion through legal and administrative measures. High turnout and official tallies exceeding 57 percent for United Russia align with historical patterns of incumbent dominance in Russia's mixed electoral system. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the absence of viable challengers capable of securing a plurality. Rare scenarios that could still shift the outcome before final certification include major discrepancies in remaining vote counts or successful post-election legal challenges, though such developments remain unlikely given the scale of the lead.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$4,967,563
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the State Duma election market due to the party's strong performance in the three-day vote concluded on September 20, 2026, with preliminary results showing it ahead by a wide margin in both party-list and single-mandate contests. The tightly managed process, conducted amid ongoing conflict with Ukraine, featured only systemic opposition parties aligned with Kremlin positions on key issues, while independent or anti-war groups faced exclusion through legal and administrative measures. High turnout and official tallies exceeding 57 percent for United Russia align with historical patterns of incumbent dominance in Russia's mixed electoral system. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects the absence of viable challengers capable of securing a plurality. Rare scenarios that could still shift the outcome before final certification include major discrepancies in remaining vote counts or successful post-election legal challenges, though such developments remain unlikely given the scale of the lead.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$4,967,563
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Neue Leute (NL) die vierthöchste Anzahl an Sitzen bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

Wird Neue Leute (NL) die vierthöchste Anzahl an Sitzen bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

78%
Ja
icon for Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

88%
icon for Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

98%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Russland" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Einiges Russland (ER)" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Russland" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $5 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 7, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Parlamentswahl in Russland" ist „Einiges Russland (ER)" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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