Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a narrow 51.5% edge over ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia governor race, reflecting a competitive rematch from 2022 amid mixed recent polling. Rodrigues’s stable approval ratings, particularly on education and infrastructure, have narrowed earlier leads for Neto, while the August 9 debate and national shifts—including União’s 2025 break from the Lula administration—have kept both candidates closely matched in first-round and runoff scenarios. Trader pricing captures this tight contest, where Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and recovered support among municipal leaders, and Neto draws strength from urban centers and opposition coalitions. Minor candidates remain negligible, with the outcome likely hinging on turnout, coalition consolidation, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before October voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Bahía
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Bahía
Jerônimo Rodrigues 52%
ACM Neto 48%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$107,607 Vol.
$107,607 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
52%
ACM Neto
48%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 52%
ACM Neto 48%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$107,607 Vol.
$107,607 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$34,528 Vol.
52%
ACM Neto
$35,900 Vol.
48%
Kleber Rosa
$11,407 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$9,514 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a narrow 51.5% edge over ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia governor race, reflecting a competitive rematch from 2022 amid mixed recent polling. Rodrigues’s stable approval ratings, particularly on education and infrastructure, have narrowed earlier leads for Neto, while the August 9 debate and national shifts—including União’s 2025 break from the Lula administration—have kept both candidates closely matched in first-round and runoff scenarios. Trader pricing captures this tight contest, where Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and recovered support among municipal leaders, and Neto draws strength from urban centers and opposition coalitions. Minor candidates remain negligible, with the outcome likely hinging on turnout, coalition consolidation, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before October voting.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$107,607Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a narrow 51.5% edge over ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia governor race, reflecting a competitive rematch from 2022 amid mixed recent polling. Rodrigues’s stable approval ratings, particularly on education and infrastructure, have narrowed earlier leads for Neto, while the August 9 debate and national shifts—including União’s 2025 break from the Lula administration—have kept both candidates closely matched in first-round and runoff scenarios. Trader pricing captures this tight contest, where Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and recovered support among municipal leaders, and Neto draws strength from urban centers and opposition coalitions. Minor candidates remain negligible, with the outcome likely hinging on turnout, coalition consolidation, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before October voting.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$107,607Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) holds a narrow 51.5% edge over ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia governor race, reflecting a competitive rematch from 2022 amid mixed recent polling. Rodrigues’s stable approval ratings, particularly on education and infrastructure, have narrowed earlier leads for Neto, while the August 9 debate and national shifts—including União’s 2025 break from the Lula administration—have kept both candidates closely matched in first-round and runoff scenarios. Trader pricing captures this tight contest, where Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and recovered support among municipal leaders, and Neto draws strength from urban centers and opposition coalitions. Minor candidates remain negligible, with the outcome likely hinging on turnout, coalition consolidation, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before October voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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