Trader consensus implies a 75.5% probability of the CDC issuing a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the unprecedented U.S. measles outbreak, with over 1,800 confirmed cases and 25 outbreaks reported in the first four months, 93% outbreak-associated per CDC surveillance. This surge, fueled by low vaccination rates and international travel introductions, heightens risks alongside a multi-country hantavirus cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, prompting CDC's Level 3 emergency operations center activation last week despite low public transmission risk. No Level 3 notices are active currently, but escalating epidemiological indicators and seasonal travel could trigger one; watch weekly CDC case updates and global outbreak reports for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Los CDC emiten una advertencia de Nivel 3 antes del 31 de diciembre?
¿Los CDC emiten una advertencia de Nivel 3 antes del 31 de diciembre?
Sí
$117,038 Vol.
$117,038 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$117,038 Vol.
$117,038 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus implies a 75.5% probability of the CDC issuing a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the unprecedented U.S. measles outbreak, with over 1,800 confirmed cases and 25 outbreaks reported in the first four months, 93% outbreak-associated per CDC surveillance. This surge, fueled by low vaccination rates and international travel introductions, heightens risks alongside a multi-country hantavirus cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, prompting CDC's Level 3 emergency operations center activation last week despite low public transmission risk. No Level 3 notices are active currently, but escalating epidemiological indicators and seasonal travel could trigger one; watch weekly CDC case updates and global outbreak reports for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volumen
$117,038Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus implies a 75.5% probability of the CDC issuing a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the unprecedented U.S. measles outbreak, with over 1,800 confirmed cases and 25 outbreaks reported in the first four months, 93% outbreak-associated per CDC surveillance. This surge, fueled by low vaccination rates and international travel introductions, heightens risks alongside a multi-country hantavirus cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, prompting CDC's Level 3 emergency operations center activation last week despite low public transmission risk. No Level 3 notices are active currently, but escalating epidemiological indicators and seasonal travel could trigger one; watch weekly CDC case updates and global outbreak reports for shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$117,038Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 75.5% probability of the CDC issuing a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the unprecedented U.S. measles outbreak, with over 1,800 confirmed cases and 25 outbreaks reported in the first four months, 93% outbreak-associated per CDC surveillance. This surge, fueled by low vaccination rates and international travel introductions, heightens risks alongside a multi-country hantavirus cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, prompting CDC's Level 3 emergency operations center activation last week despite low public transmission risk. No Level 3 notices are active currently, but escalating epidemiological indicators and seasonal travel could trigger one; watch weekly CDC case updates and global outbreak reports for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes