Recent polling momentum favors Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and national figure, over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). AtlasIntel (August 12) and Datafolha (August 13) surveys show Gomes leading first-round intentions by 5–19 points, reflecting voter familiarity and PSDB alliances ahead of the October 4 first round. Elmano’s reelection bid draws on PT organizational strength but trails in current head-to-head metrics. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO) register negligible support. Traders price Gomes at 75.5% implied probability, consistent with his polling edge and historical name recognition, while the first-round threshold and potential runoff dynamics remain key variables that could shift positioning before October.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 25%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$148,215 Vol.
$148,215 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
76%
Elmano de Freitas
25%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 25%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$148,215 Vol.
$148,215 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
$80,524 Vol.
76%
Elmano de Freitas
$25,819 Vol.
25%
Eduardo Girão
$11,119 Vol.
1%
Camilo Santana
$9,548 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$10,700 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$10,505 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling momentum favors Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and national figure, over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). AtlasIntel (August 12) and Datafolha (August 13) surveys show Gomes leading first-round intentions by 5–19 points, reflecting voter familiarity and PSDB alliances ahead of the October 4 first round. Elmano’s reelection bid draws on PT organizational strength but trails in current head-to-head metrics. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO) register negligible support. Traders price Gomes at 75.5% implied probability, consistent with his polling edge and historical name recognition, while the first-round threshold and potential runoff dynamics remain key variables that could shift positioning before October.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$148,215Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling momentum favors Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and national figure, over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). AtlasIntel (August 12) and Datafolha (August 13) surveys show Gomes leading first-round intentions by 5–19 points, reflecting voter familiarity and PSDB alliances ahead of the October 4 first round. Elmano’s reelection bid draws on PT organizational strength but trails in current head-to-head metrics. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO) register negligible support. Traders price Gomes at 75.5% implied probability, consistent with his polling edge and historical name recognition, while the first-round threshold and potential runoff dynamics remain key variables that could shift positioning before October.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$148,215Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling momentum favors Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and national figure, over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). AtlasIntel (August 12) and Datafolha (August 13) surveys show Gomes leading first-round intentions by 5–19 points, reflecting voter familiarity and PSDB alliances ahead of the October 4 first round. Elmano’s reelection bid draws on PT organizational strength but trails in current head-to-head metrics. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO) register negligible support. Traders price Gomes at 75.5% implied probability, consistent with his polling edge and historical name recognition, while the first-round threshold and potential runoff dynamics remain key variables that could shift positioning before October.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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