Ciro Gomes holds a commanding position in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in recent polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec, where he registers 41-47% support against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at around 32%. His confirmation of a focused state-level candidacy, announced after meetings with local allies and party leaders, has reinforced trader expectations ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Elmano de Freitas, seeking reelection for the Workers’ Party, faces headwinds from these surveys showing limited momentum in first-round scenarios. Lower-probability contenders such as Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, Eduardo Girão, and Roberto Cláudio remain sidelined by weaker name recognition and polling, with no recent developments shifting their standing materially. The market reflects trader assessments of these polling trends and alliance dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 67%
Elmano de Freitas 27%
Camilo Santana 5.0%
Capitão Wagner 3.1%
$55,375 Vol.
$55,375 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
67%
Elmano de Freitas
27%
Camilo Santana
5%
Capitão Wagner
3%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 67%
Elmano de Freitas 27%
Camilo Santana 5.0%
Capitão Wagner 3.1%
$55,375 Vol.
$55,375 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 Vol.
67%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,344 Vol.
27%
Camilo Santana
$3,305 Vol.
5%
Capitão Wagner
$4,204 Vol.
3%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 Vol.
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a commanding position in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in recent polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec, where he registers 41-47% support against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at around 32%. His confirmation of a focused state-level candidacy, announced after meetings with local allies and party leaders, has reinforced trader expectations ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Elmano de Freitas, seeking reelection for the Workers’ Party, faces headwinds from these surveys showing limited momentum in first-round scenarios. Lower-probability contenders such as Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, Eduardo Girão, and Roberto Cláudio remain sidelined by weaker name recognition and polling, with no recent developments shifting their standing materially. The market reflects trader assessments of these polling trends and alliance dynamics.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$55,375Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a commanding position in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in recent polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec, where he registers 41-47% support against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at around 32%. His confirmation of a focused state-level candidacy, announced after meetings with local allies and party leaders, has reinforced trader expectations ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Elmano de Freitas, seeking reelection for the Workers’ Party, faces headwinds from these surveys showing limited momentum in first-round scenarios. Lower-probability contenders such as Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, Eduardo Girão, and Roberto Cláudio remain sidelined by weaker name recognition and polling, with no recent developments shifting their standing materially. The market reflects trader assessments of these polling trends and alliance dynamics.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$55,375Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds a commanding position in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit leads in recent polls from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, and Ipsos-Ipec, where he registers 41-47% support against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at around 32%. His confirmation of a focused state-level candidacy, announced after meetings with local allies and party leaders, has reinforced trader expectations ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Elmano de Freitas, seeking reelection for the Workers’ Party, faces headwinds from these surveys showing limited momentum in first-round scenarios. Lower-probability contenders such as Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, Eduardo Girão, and Roberto Cláudio remain sidelined by weaker name recognition and polling, with no recent developments shifting their standing materially. The market reflects trader assessments of these polling trends and alliance dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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