Following the November 2025 military coup that annulled prior legislative results and installed a transitional junta, Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election is now scheduled for December 6, 2026. Trader consensus currently positions Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” as the leading contender at 35 percent amid fragmented opposition coalitions and restricted campaigning. The transitional government’s focus on institutional reforms, electoral commission capacity, and security stabilization has shaped expectations, while constitutional uncertainties and recent restrictions on political activity continue to influence assessments. Remaining outcomes, including PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB, reflect dispersed support in a field where no single force has consolidated broad backing ahead of the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Popular Nacional de Guinea-Bissau
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Popular Nacional de Guinea-Bissau
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 58.1%
FLING 11.9%
PS 5.9%
FREPASNA 3.9%
$140,664 Vol.
$140,664 Vol.
23 nov 2025
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
35%
FLING
6%
PS
6%
FREPASNA
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
PT
10%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 58.1%
FLING 11.9%
PS 5.9%
FREPASNA 3.9%
$140,664 Vol.
$140,664 Vol.
23 nov 2025
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$39,663 Vol.
35%
FLING
$11,905 Vol.
6%
PS
$23,568 Vol.
6%
FREPASNA
$23,723 Vol.
4%
MUNDO-GB
$21,373 Vol.
3%
PT
$20,432 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Following the November 2025 military coup that annulled prior legislative results and installed a transitional junta, Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election is now scheduled for December 6, 2026. Trader consensus currently positions Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” as the leading contender at 35 percent amid fragmented opposition coalitions and restricted campaigning. The transitional government’s focus on institutional reforms, electoral commission capacity, and security stabilization has shaped expectations, while constitutional uncertainties and recent restrictions on political activity continue to influence assessments. Remaining outcomes, including PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB, reflect dispersed support in a field where no single force has consolidated broad backing ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Mercado abierto: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volumen
$140,664Fecha de finalización
23 nov 2025Mercado abierto
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Following the November 2025 military coup that annulled prior legislative results and installed a transitional junta, Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election is now scheduled for December 6, 2026. Trader consensus currently positions Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” as the leading contender at 35 percent amid fragmented opposition coalitions and restricted campaigning. The transitional government’s focus on institutional reforms, electoral commission capacity, and security stabilization has shaped expectations, while constitutional uncertainties and recent restrictions on political activity continue to influence assessments. Remaining outcomes, including PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB, reflect dispersed support in a field where no single force has consolidated broad backing ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volumen
$140,664Fecha de finalización
23 nov 2025Mercado abierto
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following the November 2025 military coup that annulled prior legislative results and installed a transitional junta, Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election is now scheduled for December 6, 2026. Trader consensus currently positions Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” as the leading contender at 35 percent amid fragmented opposition coalitions and restricted campaigning. The transitional government’s focus on institutional reforms, electoral commission capacity, and security stabilization has shaped expectations, while constitutional uncertainties and recent restrictions on political activity continue to influence assessments. Remaining outcomes, including PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB, reflect dispersed support in a field where no single force has consolidated broad backing ahead of the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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