Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the Sichuan Basin converge on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, reflecting typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover that allow afternoon heating without significant convective cooling. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 28.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 28°C at 22%, as numerical weather models show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and minimal influence from regional pressure gradients. Historical May climatology for the area supports highs clustering between 27°C and 30°C, with small day-to-day shifts driven by subtle variations in moisture advection from the south. Traders will watch the next model runs and any updated observational data for confirmation ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
29°C 28%
28°C 25%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
NUEVO
$17,183 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,183 Vol.
17 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
25%
29°C
28%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 28%
28°C 25%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
NUEVO
$17,183 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,183 Vol.
17 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,323 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,638 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,312 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,511 Vol.
6%
27°C
$2,198 Vol.
16%
28°C
$2,048 Vol.
25%
29°C
$1,853 Vol.
28%
30°C
$641 Vol.
11%
31°C
$1,449 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,241 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,969 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the Sichuan Basin converge on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, reflecting typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover that allow afternoon heating without significant convective cooling. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 28.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 28°C at 22%, as numerical weather models show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and minimal influence from regional pressure gradients. Historical May climatology for the area supports highs clustering between 27°C and 30°C, with small day-to-day shifts driven by subtle variations in moisture advection from the south. Traders will watch the next model runs and any updated observational data for confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$17,183Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the Sichuan Basin converge on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, reflecting typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover that allow afternoon heating without significant convective cooling. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 28.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 28°C at 22%, as numerical weather models show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and minimal influence from regional pressure gradients. Historical May climatology for the area supports highs clustering between 27°C and 30°C, with small day-to-day shifts driven by subtle variations in moisture advection from the south. Traders will watch the next model runs and any updated observational data for confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,183Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest meteorological forecasts from agencies monitoring the Sichuan Basin converge on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, reflecting typical late-spring atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover that allow afternoon heating without significant convective cooling. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 28.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 28°C at 22%, as numerical weather models show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and minimal influence from regional pressure gradients. Historical May climatology for the area supports highs clustering between 27°C and 30°C, with small day-to-day shifts driven by subtle variations in moisture advection from the south. Traders will watch the next model runs and any updated observational data for confirmation ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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