Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin that supports efficient daytime heating under light winds and moderate humidity. This late-spring setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when basin topography and insolation typically produce highs in the 26–32°C range. Numerical weather prediction consensus has tightened around this value in recent model runs, positioning 29°C as the leading outcome at 44% market-implied probability, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C. Resolution will depend on the official recorded maximum at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, with any afternoon convective development or wind shifts offering the main variables that could shift the final reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
29°C 43%
28°C 27%
30°C 21%
31°C 4.1%
$28,463 Vol.
$28,463 Vol.
17 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
27%
29°C
43%
30°C
21%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 27%
30°C 21%
31°C 4.1%
$28,463 Vol.
$28,463 Vol.
17 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,669 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,953 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,529 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,339 Vol.
3%
28°C
$3,161 Vol.
27%
29°C
$2,231 Vol.
43%
30°C
$1,742 Vol.
21%
31°C
$2,534 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,742 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$2,243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin that supports efficient daytime heating under light winds and moderate humidity. This late-spring setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when basin topography and insolation typically produce highs in the 26–32°C range. Numerical weather prediction consensus has tightened around this value in recent model runs, positioning 29°C as the leading outcome at 44% market-implied probability, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C. Resolution will depend on the official recorded maximum at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, with any afternoon convective development or wind shifts offering the main variables that could shift the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$28,463Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin that supports efficient daytime heating under light winds and moderate humidity. This late-spring setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when basin topography and insolation typically produce highs in the 26–32°C range. Numerical weather prediction consensus has tightened around this value in recent model runs, positioning 29°C as the leading outcome at 44% market-implied probability, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C. Resolution will depend on the official recorded maximum at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, with any afternoon convective development or wind shifts offering the main variables that could shift the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,463Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin that supports efficient daytime heating under light winds and moderate humidity. This late-spring setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when basin topography and insolation typically produce highs in the 26–32°C range. Numerical weather prediction consensus has tightened around this value in recent model runs, positioning 29°C as the leading outcome at 44% market-implied probability, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C. Resolution will depend on the official recorded maximum at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, with any afternoon convective development or wind shifts offering the main variables that could shift the final reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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