Forecast models from meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin where moderate humidity and light winds limit strong daytime heating. This tight clustering explains why the 30°C outcome holds a slim 47.5% edge over 29°C at 40.5%, with only marginal probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher. Subtle differences in local topography, cloud cover timing, and the precise arrival of any weak frontal boundary can shift the recorded high by a single degree, creating the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official station observations later today will clarify whether conditions favor the upper or lower end of this range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
30°C 45%
29°C 40%
31°C 9.0%
32°C 1.5%
$35,119 Vol.
$35,119 Vol.
17 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
40%
30°C
45%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
29°C 40%
31°C 9.0%
32°C 1.5%
$35,119 Vol.
$35,119 Vol.
17 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,689 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,048 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,942 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,229 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,769 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,876 Vol.
40%
30°C
$2,363 Vol.
45%
31°C
$3,069 Vol.
9%
32°C
$2,300 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$2,599 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin where moderate humidity and light winds limit strong daytime heating. This tight clustering explains why the 30°C outcome holds a slim 47.5% edge over 29°C at 40.5%, with only marginal probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher. Subtle differences in local topography, cloud cover timing, and the precise arrival of any weak frontal boundary can shift the recorded high by a single degree, creating the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official station observations later today will clarify whether conditions favor the upper or lower end of this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$35,119Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin where moderate humidity and light winds limit strong daytime heating. This tight clustering explains why the 30°C outcome holds a slim 47.5% edge over 29°C at 40.5%, with only marginal probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher. Subtle differences in local topography, cloud cover timing, and the precise arrival of any weak frontal boundary can shift the recorded high by a single degree, creating the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official station observations later today will clarify whether conditions favor the upper or lower end of this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,119Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUForecast models from meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin where moderate humidity and light winds limit strong daytime heating. This tight clustering explains why the 30°C outcome holds a slim 47.5% edge over 29°C at 40.5%, with only marginal probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher. Subtle differences in local topography, cloud cover timing, and the precise arrival of any weak frontal boundary can shift the recorded high by a single degree, creating the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official station observations later today will clarify whether conditions favor the upper or lower end of this range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes