National Weather Service guidance and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF converged on a daytime high of 76–78 °F for Denver on May 16, placing the 76–77 °F bin at a 95.9 % market-implied probability. This outcome reflects a stable high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow that limited daytime heating while keeping skies mostly clear. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 74 °F, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than the near-record warmth observed earlier in the week. Only a late-day downslope wind surge or rapid clearing that exceeded model assumptions could realistically push temperatures into the 78–79 °F range and shift the consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 96.6%
78-79°F 2.7%
80-81°F <1%
84°F or higher <1%
$59,805 Vol.
$59,805 Vol.
16 may 2026
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
76-77°F
97%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 96.6%
78-79°F 2.7%
80-81°F <1%
84°F or higher <1%
$59,805 Vol.
$59,805 Vol.
16 may 2026
70-71°F
$2,861 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,261 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,268 Vol.
97%
78-79°F
$3,341 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$4,801 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$5,088 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$7,009 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF converged on a daytime high of 76–78 °F for Denver on May 16, placing the 76–77 °F bin at a 95.9 % market-implied probability. This outcome reflects a stable high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow that limited daytime heating while keeping skies mostly clear. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 74 °F, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than the near-record warmth observed earlier in the week. Only a late-day downslope wind surge or rapid clearing that exceeded model assumptions could realistically push temperatures into the 78–79 °F range and shift the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$59,805Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF converged on a daytime high of 76–78 °F for Denver on May 16, placing the 76–77 °F bin at a 95.9 % market-implied probability. This outcome reflects a stable high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow that limited daytime heating while keeping skies mostly clear. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 74 °F, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than the near-record warmth observed earlier in the week. Only a late-day downslope wind surge or rapid clearing that exceeded model assumptions could realistically push temperatures into the 78–79 °F range and shift the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$59,805Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and leading dynamical models such as the GFS and ECMWF converged on a daytime high of 76–78 °F for Denver on May 16, placing the 76–77 °F bin at a 95.9 % market-implied probability. This outcome reflects a stable high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow that limited daytime heating while keeping skies mostly clear. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 74 °F, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than the near-record warmth observed earlier in the week. Only a late-day downslope wind surge or rapid clearing that exceeded model assumptions could realistically push temperatures into the 78–79 °F range and shift the consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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