National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from the GFS and ECMWF currently favor a daytime high of 76–79°F for Denver on May 16, anchoring the 76–77°F bin as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. A persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, while dry antecedent soils amplify surface warming several degrees above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon, though an approaching weak shortwave trough introduces modest uncertainty that could cap temperatures in the mid-70s. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle for any refinement ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 56%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 10%
84°F or higher <1%
$51,195 Vol.
$51,195 Vol.
16 may 2026
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 56%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 10%
84°F or higher <1%
$51,195 Vol.
$51,195 Vol.
16 may 2026
66-67°F
$4,226 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,668 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,861 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,261 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$4,083 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,823 Vol.
56%
78-79°F
$2,595 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$3,393 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$4,603 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$5,576 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from the GFS and ECMWF currently favor a daytime high of 76–79°F for Denver on May 16, anchoring the 76–77°F bin as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. A persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, while dry antecedent soils amplify surface warming several degrees above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon, though an approaching weak shortwave trough introduces modest uncertainty that could cap temperatures in the mid-70s. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle for any refinement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$51,195Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from the GFS and ECMWF currently favor a daytime high of 76–79°F for Denver on May 16, anchoring the 76–77°F bin as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. A persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, while dry antecedent soils amplify surface warming several degrees above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon, though an approaching weak shortwave trough introduces modest uncertainty that could cap temperatures in the mid-70s. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle for any refinement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$51,195Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from the GFS and ECMWF currently favor a daytime high of 76–79°F for Denver on May 16, anchoring the 76–77°F bin as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. A persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, while dry antecedent soils amplify surface warming several degrees above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon, though an approaching weak shortwave trough introduces modest uncertainty that could cap temperatures in the mid-70s. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle for any refinement ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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