Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher today, backed by authoritative forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 24–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs confirming stable high-pressure conditions over central Mexico, with minimal cloud cover inhibiting the diurnal heating cycle at the city's 2,240-meter elevation—historical May averages hover around 26°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unforecasted cool air intrusion or persistent afternoon thunderstorms suppressing peaks below 19°C, though such outliers contradict current ensemble consensus and low precipitation probabilities; real-time observations from Benito Juárez Airport will refine estimates through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
$18,812 Vol.
$18,812 Vol.
15 may 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
100%
$18,812 Vol.
$18,812 Vol.
15 may 2026
18°C
$2,473 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$3,760 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher today, backed by authoritative forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 24–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs confirming stable high-pressure conditions over central Mexico, with minimal cloud cover inhibiting the diurnal heating cycle at the city's 2,240-meter elevation—historical May averages hover around 26°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unforecasted cool air intrusion or persistent afternoon thunderstorms suppressing peaks below 19°C, though such outliers contradict current ensemble consensus and low precipitation probabilities; real-time observations from Benito Juárez Airport will refine estimates through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volumen
$18,812Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher today, backed by authoritative forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 24–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs confirming stable high-pressure conditions over central Mexico, with minimal cloud cover inhibiting the diurnal heating cycle at the city's 2,240-meter elevation—historical May averages hover around 26°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unforecasted cool air intrusion or persistent afternoon thunderstorms suppressing peaks below 19°C, though such outliers contradict current ensemble consensus and low precipitation probabilities; real-time observations from Benito Juárez Airport will refine estimates through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,812Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher today, backed by authoritative forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 24–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs confirming stable high-pressure conditions over central Mexico, with minimal cloud cover inhibiting the diurnal heating cycle at the city's 2,240-meter elevation—historical May averages hover around 26°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unforecasted cool air intrusion or persistent afternoon thunderstorms suppressing peaks below 19°C, though such outliers contradict current ensemble consensus and low precipitation probabilities; real-time observations from Benito Juárez Airport will refine estimates through evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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