Official observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 13°C, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cool northerly airflow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF model runs projecting highs in the 12–14°C range amid below-average early May conditions—historical norms hover around 18°C. METAR reports, including a 14°C reading at 14:50 local time, support this without exceeding the threshold. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control adjustments by DWD or Wunderground, the market's resolution source, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
13°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$116,210 Vol.
$116,210 Vol.
14 may 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$116,210 Vol.
$116,210 Vol.
14 may 2026
4°C or below
$1,382 Vol.
No
5°C
$1,160 Vol.
No
6°C
$1,353 Vol.
No
7°C
$1,767 Vol.
No
8°C
$1,747 Vol.
No
9°C
$7,957 Vol.
No
10°C
$16,016 Vol.
No
11°C
$18,055 Vol.
No
12°C
$28,911 Vol.
No
13°C
$16,602 Vol.
Yes
14°C or higher
$21,260 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 13°C, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cool northerly airflow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF model runs projecting highs in the 12–14°C range amid below-average early May conditions—historical norms hover around 18°C. METAR reports, including a 14°C reading at 14:50 local time, support this without exceeding the threshold. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control adjustments by DWD or Wunderground, the market's resolution source, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$116,210Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 13°C, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cool northerly airflow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF model runs projecting highs in the 12–14°C range amid below-average early May conditions—historical norms hover around 18°C. METAR reports, including a 14°C reading at 14:50 local time, support this without exceeding the threshold. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control adjustments by DWD or Wunderground, the market's resolution source, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$116,210Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Official observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 13°C, driving trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cool northerly airflow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event ECMWF model runs projecting highs in the 12–14°C range amid below-average early May conditions—historical norms hover around 18°C. METAR reports, including a 14°C reading at 14:50 local time, support this without exceeding the threshold. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control adjustments by DWD or Wunderground, the market's resolution source, though such changes are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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