Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge across the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C-or-higher outcome at 62% implied probability for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to drive rapid surface warming, pushing temperatures well above the city’s May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 have shifted quickly to this warming pattern, reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 17 de mayo?
35°C or higher 64%
34°C 30%
33°C 1.1%
29°C <1%
NUEVO
$23,378 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,378 Vol.
17 may 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
30%
35°C or higher
64%
35°C or higher 64%
34°C 30%
33°C 1.1%
29°C <1%
NUEVO
$23,378 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,378 Vol.
17 may 2026
25°C or below
$7,140 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,573 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,529 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,426 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,626 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$997 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,843 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,710 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,734 Vol.
30%
35°C or higher
$2,867 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge across the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C-or-higher outcome at 62% implied probability for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to drive rapid surface warming, pushing temperatures well above the city’s May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 have shifted quickly to this warming pattern, reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$23,378Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge across the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C-or-higher outcome at 62% implied probability for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to drive rapid surface warming, pushing temperatures well above the city’s May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 have shifted quickly to this warming pattern, reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,378Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge across the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C-or-higher outcome at 62% implied probability for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to drive rapid surface warming, pushing temperatures well above the city’s May climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16 have shifted quickly to this warming pattern, reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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