Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow under a modest subtropical ridge that promotes daytime warming while allowing partial cloud cover. This setup aligns with May climatology, where average highs typically reach 26–28°C, and incorporates a modest risk of afternoon showers that could cap peak readings. The market-implied probabilities, with 28°C at 50.5% and 29°C at 36.5%, reflect trader consensus on these ensemble forecasts, as updated model runs show limited spread and low likelihood of exceeding 30°C or dropping below 27°C given current atmospheric conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 17 de mayo?
28°C 53%
29°C 34%
30°C 6%
31°C <1%
$41,463 Vol.
$41,463 Vol.
17 may 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
53%
29°C
34%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 53%
29°C 34%
30°C 6%
31°C <1%
$41,463 Vol.
$41,463 Vol.
17 may 2026
24°C or below
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,975 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$12,125 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,834 Vol.
53%
29°C
$1,419 Vol.
34%
30°C
$2,038 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2,969 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5,444 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,610 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,354 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow under a modest subtropical ridge that promotes daytime warming while allowing partial cloud cover. This setup aligns with May climatology, where average highs typically reach 26–28°C, and incorporates a modest risk of afternoon showers that could cap peak readings. The market-implied probabilities, with 28°C at 50.5% and 29°C at 36.5%, reflect trader consensus on these ensemble forecasts, as updated model runs show limited spread and low likelihood of exceeding 30°C or dropping below 27°C given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$41,463Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow under a modest subtropical ridge that promotes daytime warming while allowing partial cloud cover. This setup aligns with May climatology, where average highs typically reach 26–28°C, and incorporates a modest risk of afternoon showers that could cap peak readings. The market-implied probabilities, with 28°C at 50.5% and 29°C at 36.5%, reflect trader consensus on these ensemble forecasts, as updated model runs show limited spread and low likelihood of exceeding 30°C or dropping below 27°C given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$41,463Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHLatest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by light southerly flow under a modest subtropical ridge that promotes daytime warming while allowing partial cloud cover. This setup aligns with May climatology, where average highs typically reach 26–28°C, and incorporates a modest risk of afternoon showers that could cap peak readings. The market-implied probabilities, with 28°C at 50.5% and 29°C at 36.5%, reflect trader consensus on these ensemble forecasts, as updated model runs show limited spread and low likelihood of exceeding 30°C or dropping below 27°C given current atmospheric conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes