Strong consensus among Météo-France forecasts and ensemble models indicates a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C in Paris on May 16, 2026, driven by clear overnight skies that enhance radiative cooling beneath a stable high-pressure system and light northerly winds that limit mixing in the boundary layer. This configuration matches mid-May climatological norms for the Paris region, where surface lows typically settle between 5–7°C under similar synoptic conditions, supporting the market’s near-100% implied probability for the 6°C outcome. Traders are tracking the final model updates for any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or a wind shift that could raise or lower the nocturnal minimum by 1–2°C before official observations from central Paris stations finalize resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 16 de mayo?
6°C 100.0%
0°C o menos <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,366 Vol.
$15,366 Vol.
16 may 2026
0°C o menos
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C o más
<1%
6°C 100.0%
0°C o menos <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,366 Vol.
$15,366 Vol.
16 may 2026
0°C o menos
$255 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$581 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$817 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,238 Vol.
100%
7°C
$3,305 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,833 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$943 Vol.
<1%
10°C o más
$3,045 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong consensus among Météo-France forecasts and ensemble models indicates a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C in Paris on May 16, 2026, driven by clear overnight skies that enhance radiative cooling beneath a stable high-pressure system and light northerly winds that limit mixing in the boundary layer. This configuration matches mid-May climatological norms for the Paris region, where surface lows typically settle between 5–7°C under similar synoptic conditions, supporting the market’s near-100% implied probability for the 6°C outcome. Traders are tracking the final model updates for any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or a wind shift that could raise or lower the nocturnal minimum by 1–2°C before official observations from central Paris stations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$15,366Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong consensus among Météo-France forecasts and ensemble models indicates a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C in Paris on May 16, 2026, driven by clear overnight skies that enhance radiative cooling beneath a stable high-pressure system and light northerly winds that limit mixing in the boundary layer. This configuration matches mid-May climatological norms for the Paris region, where surface lows typically settle between 5–7°C under similar synoptic conditions, supporting the market’s near-100% implied probability for the 6°C outcome. Traders are tracking the final model updates for any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or a wind shift that could raise or lower the nocturnal minimum by 1–2°C before official observations from central Paris stations finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,366Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBStrong consensus among Météo-France forecasts and ensemble models indicates a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C in Paris on May 16, 2026, driven by clear overnight skies that enhance radiative cooling beneath a stable high-pressure system and light northerly winds that limit mixing in the boundary layer. This configuration matches mid-May climatological norms for the Paris region, where surface lows typically settle between 5–7°C under similar synoptic conditions, supporting the market’s near-100% implied probability for the 6°C outcome. Traders are tracking the final model updates for any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or a wind shift that could raise or lower the nocturnal minimum by 1–2°C before official observations from central Paris stations finalize resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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