Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 15-16% support ahead of the October 5 election, with strength concentrated in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and others range from roughly 7 to 18 seats, reflecting vote-efficiency uncertainty under the new 127-riding map and the fragmented field where the Parti Québécois leads but falls short of a majority. Trader pricing clusters around 8-13 seats because modest shifts in regional turnout or final-week movement could push totals toward either the lower or higher end of that band, while higher outcomes would require stronger performance outside traditional strongholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado8-10 29%
11-13 21%
5-7 13%
17+ 12.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
<5
4%
5-7
13%
8-10
29%
11-13
21%
14-16
6%
17+
15%
8-10 29%
11-13 21%
5-7 13%
17+ 12.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
<5
$1,969 Vol.
4%
5-7
$838 Vol.
13%
8-10
$1,323 Vol.
29%
11-13
$1,419 Vol.
21%
14-16
$995 Vol.
6%
17+
$977 Vol.
15%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 15-16% support ahead of the October 5 election, with strength concentrated in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and others range from roughly 7 to 18 seats, reflecting vote-efficiency uncertainty under the new 127-riding map and the fragmented field where the Parti Québécois leads but falls short of a majority. Trader pricing clusters around 8-13 seats because modest shifts in regional turnout or final-week movement could push totals toward either the lower or higher end of that band, while higher outcomes would require stronger performance outside traditional strongholds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volumen
$7,521Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 15-16% support ahead of the October 5 election, with strength concentrated in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and others range from roughly 7 to 18 seats, reflecting vote-efficiency uncertainty under the new 127-riding map and the fragmented field where the Parti Québécois leads but falls short of a majority. Trader pricing clusters around 8-13 seats because modest shifts in regional turnout or final-week movement could push totals toward either the lower or higher end of that band, while higher outcomes would require stronger performance outside traditional strongholds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$7,521Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 15-16% support ahead of the October 5 election, with strength concentrated in the Quebec City region and parts of the Beauce. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and others range from roughly 7 to 18 seats, reflecting vote-efficiency uncertainty under the new 127-riding map and the fragmented field where the Parti Québécois leads but falls short of a majority. Trader pricing clusters around 8-13 seats because modest shifts in regional turnout or final-week movement could push totals toward either the lower or higher end of that band, while higher outcomes would require stronger performance outside traditional strongholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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