Incumbent Raquel Lyra of the PSD holds a clear lead in the Pernambuco gubernatorial race according to trader consensus, reflecting her established statewide profile after winning in 2022 and recent coalition consolidation ahead of the October 2026 vote. Party conventions formalized her re-election bid alongside main challenger João Campos of the PSB, the former Recife mayor, sharpening focus on issues such as health, education, and public security during recent exchanges. Polling has shown a competitive first-round contest with Lyra often ahead or statistically tied, supported by cross-party backing that bolsters her position against Campos’s PSB-Lula alignment. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes remain at negligible implied probabilities, consistent with limited polling traction and the binary nature of the runoff dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRaquel Lyra 70%
João Campos 30%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$25,998 Vol.
$25,998 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Raquel Lyra
70%
João Campos
30%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 70%
João Campos 30%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$25,998 Vol.
$25,998 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Raquel Lyra
$11,543 Vol.
70%
João Campos
$12,304 Vol.
30%
Ivan Moraes
$2,151 Vol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra of the PSD holds a clear lead in the Pernambuco gubernatorial race according to trader consensus, reflecting her established statewide profile after winning in 2022 and recent coalition consolidation ahead of the October 2026 vote. Party conventions formalized her re-election bid alongside main challenger João Campos of the PSB, the former Recife mayor, sharpening focus on issues such as health, education, and public security during recent exchanges. Polling has shown a competitive first-round contest with Lyra often ahead or statistically tied, supported by cross-party backing that bolsters her position against Campos’s PSB-Lula alignment. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes remain at negligible implied probabilities, consistent with limited polling traction and the binary nature of the runoff dynamics.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$25,998Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra of the PSD holds a clear lead in the Pernambuco gubernatorial race according to trader consensus, reflecting her established statewide profile after winning in 2022 and recent coalition consolidation ahead of the October 2026 vote. Party conventions formalized her re-election bid alongside main challenger João Campos of the PSB, the former Recife mayor, sharpening focus on issues such as health, education, and public security during recent exchanges. Polling has shown a competitive first-round contest with Lyra often ahead or statistically tied, supported by cross-party backing that bolsters her position against Campos’s PSB-Lula alignment. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes remain at negligible implied probabilities, consistent with limited polling traction and the binary nature of the runoff dynamics.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$25,998Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Raquel Lyra of the PSD holds a clear lead in the Pernambuco gubernatorial race according to trader consensus, reflecting her established statewide profile after winning in 2022 and recent coalition consolidation ahead of the October 2026 vote. Party conventions formalized her re-election bid alongside main challenger João Campos of the PSB, the former Recife mayor, sharpening focus on issues such as health, education, and public security during recent exchanges. Polling has shown a competitive first-round contest with Lyra often ahead or statistically tied, supported by cross-party backing that bolsters her position against Campos’s PSB-Lula alignment. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes remain at negligible implied probabilities, consistent with limited polling traction and the binary nature of the runoff dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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