Incumbent Jorginho Mello of the Liberal Party holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race for the October 4, 2026, election, backed by his 2022 victory with over 70% of the vote and consistent polling advantages in first-round scenarios. His recent official confirmation as the PL candidate at the party's August 2026 state convention, alongside vice-governor nominee Adriano Silva, has reinforced party unity and organizational strength ahead of the single-round contest. Other declared candidates, including Marcelo Brigadeiro, Gelson Merisio, Marcos Vieira, and Décio Lima, remain fragmented and trail significantly in early surveys. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in a state where incumbents often secure reelection, though a late consolidation of opposition forces or major unforeseen developments could still alter the trajectory before voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJorginho Mello 95%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 4.3%
João Rodrigues 1.7%
Marcos Vieira <1%
$109,245 Vol.
$109,245 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Jorginho Mello
95%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
4%
João Rodrigues
2%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Adriano Silva
<1%
Gelson Merisio
<1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Jorginho Mello 95%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 4.3%
João Rodrigues 1.7%
Marcos Vieira <1%
$109,245 Vol.
$109,245 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Jorginho Mello
$24,869 Vol.
95%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$14,867 Vol.
4%
João Rodrigues
$1,903 Vol.
2%
Marcos Vieira
$1,225 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Silva
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
Gelson Merisio
$1,299 Vol.
<1%
Décio Lima
$62,873 Vol.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$1,185 Vol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jorginho Mello of the Liberal Party holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race for the October 4, 2026, election, backed by his 2022 victory with over 70% of the vote and consistent polling advantages in first-round scenarios. His recent official confirmation as the PL candidate at the party's August 2026 state convention, alongside vice-governor nominee Adriano Silva, has reinforced party unity and organizational strength ahead of the single-round contest. Other declared candidates, including Marcelo Brigadeiro, Gelson Merisio, Marcos Vieira, and Décio Lima, remain fragmented and trail significantly in early surveys. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in a state where incumbents often secure reelection, though a late consolidation of opposition forces or major unforeseen developments could still alter the trajectory before voting.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volumen
$109,245Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jorginho Mello of the Liberal Party holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race for the October 4, 2026, election, backed by his 2022 victory with over 70% of the vote and consistent polling advantages in first-round scenarios. His recent official confirmation as the PL candidate at the party's August 2026 state convention, alongside vice-governor nominee Adriano Silva, has reinforced party unity and organizational strength ahead of the single-round contest. Other declared candidates, including Marcelo Brigadeiro, Gelson Merisio, Marcos Vieira, and Décio Lima, remain fragmented and trail significantly in early surveys. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in a state where incumbents often secure reelection, though a late consolidation of opposition forces or major unforeseen developments could still alter the trajectory before voting.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$109,245Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jorginho Mello of the Liberal Party holds a commanding lead in the Santa Catarina gubernatorial race for the October 4, 2026, election, backed by his 2022 victory with over 70% of the vote and consistent polling advantages in first-round scenarios. His recent official confirmation as the PL candidate at the party's August 2026 state convention, alongside vice-governor nominee Adriano Silva, has reinforced party unity and organizational strength ahead of the single-round contest. Other declared candidates, including Marcelo Brigadeiro, Gelson Merisio, Marcos Vieira, and Décio Lima, remain fragmented and trail significantly in early surveys. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in a state where incumbents often secure reelection, though a late consolidation of opposition forces or major unforeseen developments could still alter the trajectory before voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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