Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for ¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?

¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?

icon for ¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?

¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?

$624,009 Vol.

30 mar 2026
Polymarket

$624,009 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de diciembre

$131,807 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-backed talks between Venezuela’s interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez and select opposition figures aim to reform the National Electoral Council and related institutions before scheduling a presidential election. These discussions, launched on August 1, 2026, follow the January 2026 US capture of Nicolás Maduro and focus on restoring democratic guarantees, yet exclude prominent opposition leader María Corina Machado. US officials, including President Trump, have stated that conditions are not yet ready for a vote, prioritizing stabilization after recent earthquakes and economic recovery over an immediate timeline. Calls for a 2027 date, such as July 24, have surfaced from US lawmakers, while constitutional requirements and the need for voter registry updates, neutral oversight, and international monitoring create structural delays. Trader consensus on scheduling reflects these institutional and diplomatic hurdles rather than firm commitments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$624,009
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-backed talks between Venezuela’s interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez and select opposition figures aim to reform the National Electoral Council and related institutions before scheduling a presidential election. These discussions, launched on August 1, 2026, follow the January 2026 US capture of Nicolás Maduro and focus on restoring democratic guarantees, yet exclude prominent opposition leader María Corina Machado. US officials, including President Trump, have stated that conditions are not yet ready for a vote, prioritizing stabilization after recent earthquakes and economic recovery over an immediate timeline. Calls for a 2027 date, such as July 24, have surfaced from US lawmakers, while constitutional requirements and the need for voter registry updates, neutral oversight, and international monitoring create structural delays. Trader consensus on scheduling reflects these institutional and diplomatic hurdles rather than firm commitments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$624,009
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 14%, seguido de "31 de enero" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 14¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" ha generado $624K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 14%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de enero" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.