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icon for Campeche Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Campeche Governor Election Winner

icon for Campeche Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Campeche Governor Election Winner

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 87%

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 6.7%

Carlos Ucán Yam <1%

Aníbal Ostoa Ortega <1%

Polymarket

$27,544 Vol.

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 87%

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 6.7%

Carlos Ucán Yam <1%

Aníbal Ostoa Ortega <1%

Polymarket

$27,544 Vol.

icon for Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus

$10,768 Vol.

87%

icon for Eliseo Fernández Montúfar

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar

$871 Vol.

7%

icon for Carlos Ucán Yam

Carlos Ucán Yam

$648 Vol.

1%

icon for Aníbal Ostoa Ortega

Aníbal Ostoa Ortega

$822 Vol.

1%

icon for Biby Rabelo de la Torre

Biby Rabelo de la Torre

$630 Vol.

1%

icon for Daniel Barreda Pavón

Daniel Barreda Pavón

$661 Vol.

1%

icon for Christian Castro Bello

Christian Castro Bello

$650 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nelly Márquez Zapata

Nelly Márquez Zapata

$621 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Medina Farfán

Ricardo Medina Farfán

$650 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ariana Rejón Lara

Ariana Rejón Lara

$684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Valladares Valle

Yolanda Valladares Valle

$588 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosario Cruz Hernández

Rosario Cruz Hernández

$688 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liz Hernández Romero

Liz Hernández Romero

$623 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armando Toledo Jamit

Armando Toledo Jamit

$698 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andrés Fernández del Valle

Andrés Fernández del Valle

$653 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Angulo Briceño

Pablo Angulo Briceño

$621 Vol.

<1%

icon for Salvador Farías González

Salvador Farías González

$656 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dulce Dorantes Cervera

Dulce Dorantes Cervera

$682 Vol.

<1%

icon for Martina Kantún Can

Martina Kantún Can

$712 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rocío Abreu Artiñano

Rocío Abreu Artiñano

$637 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gerardo Sánchez Sansores

Gerardo Sánchez Sansores

$660 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Arce Ontiveros

Paul Arce Ontiveros

$617 Vol.

<1%

icon for Laura Baqueiro Ramos

Laura Baqueiro Ramos

$670 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora

Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora

$682 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emilio Lara Calderón

Emilio Lara Calderón

$677 Vol.

<1%

icon for Francisco Farías Bailón

Francisco Farías Bailón

$677 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 87% implied probability in the Campeche governor election market after Morena designated him state coordinator for the defense of the Fourth Transformation in August 2026, following his June resignation as mayor of Ciudad del Carmen to pursue the 2027 nomination. Backed by incumbent Governor Layda Sansores, the early party move consolidated support within the coalition of Morena, PT, and PVEM ahead of the June 2027 vote. Mid-2026 surveys showed him leading Morena internal preferences and competitive in general-election matchups against figures such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar of Movimiento Ciudadano, though the race remains subject to coalition negotiations, turnout patterns, and any late shifts in voter identification. Other listed aspirants register minimal trader pricing consistent with limited current viability.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$27,544
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 87% implied probability in the Campeche governor election market after Morena designated him state coordinator for the defense of the Fourth Transformation in August 2026, following his June resignation as mayor of Ciudad del Carmen to pursue the 2027 nomination. Backed by incumbent Governor Layda Sansores, the early party move consolidated support within the coalition of Morena, PT, and PVEM ahead of the June 2027 vote. Mid-2026 surveys showed him leading Morena internal preferences and competitive in general-election matchups against figures such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar of Movimiento Ciudadano, though the race remains subject to coalition negotiations, turnout patterns, and any late shifts in voter identification. Other listed aspirants register minimal trader pricing consistent with limited current viability.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$27,544
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Campeche Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus" at 87%, followed by "Eliseo Fernández Montúfar" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Campeche Governor Election Winner" has generated $27.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Campeche Governor Election Winner," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Campeche Governor Election Winner" is "Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eliseo Fernández Montúfar" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Campeche Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.