Skip to main content
icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 92%

Elijah Manley 9%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick <1%

Mark Douglas <1%

Polymarket

$52,058 Vol.

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 92%

Elijah Manley 9%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick <1%

Mark Douglas <1%

Polymarket

$52,058 Vol.

icon for Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$22,487 Vol.

92%

icon for Elijah Manley

Elijah Manley

$20,203 Vol.

9%

icon for Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$1,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Douglas

Mark Douglas

$838 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rudy Moise

Rudy Moise

$2,031 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luther Campbell

Luther Campbell

$1,251 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dale Holness

Dale Holness

$2,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Maisha Williams

Maisha Williams

$741 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida's 20th Congressional District due to her substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, long congressional tenure, and name recognition following redistricting that shifted her prior seat. Multiple challengers including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, and Dale Holness have split support among Black Democratic voters in the plurality-Black district, with unity efforts faltering and some candidates facing legal or other hurdles. Editorial endorsements and her Appropriations Committee role further bolster her position. A late consolidation behind one opponent or unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current trader consensus reflects these structural barriers to an upset.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$52,058
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida's 20th Congressional District due to her substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million, long congressional tenure, and name recognition following redistricting that shifted her prior seat. Multiple challengers including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, and Dale Holness have split support among Black Democratic voters in the plurality-Black district, with unity efforts faltering and some candidates facing legal or other hurdles. Editorial endorsements and her Appropriations Committee role further bolster her position. A late consolidation behind one opponent or unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current trader consensus reflects these structural barriers to an upset.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$52,058
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

icon for Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?

63%
icon for Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?

Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?

88%
icon for Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?

Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?

89%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" at 92%, followed by "Elijah Manley" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $52.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elijah Manley" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.