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Elecciones·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Elecciones·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Elijah Manley 49%

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 48%

Dale Holness 1.3%

Maisha Williams <1%

Polymarket

$10,152 Vol.

Elijah Manley 49%

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 48%

Dale Holness 1.3%

Maisha Williams <1%

Polymarket

$10,152 Vol.

Elijah Manley

$3,721 Vol.

49%

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$655 Vol.

48%

Dale Holness

$1,986 Vol.

1%

Maisha Williams

$491 Vol.

1%

Rudy Moise

$1,342 Vol.

1%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$1,009 Vol.

<1%

Luther Campbell

$481 Vol.

<1%

Mark Douglas

$466 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds the lead in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 20th Congressional District following mid-decade redistricting that shifted her into this historically Black Broward County seat after her prior district was redrawn more competitive. Multiple Black candidates—including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Dale Holness, Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, and Rudy Moise—split opposition support, with recent closed-door talks among several of them aimed at consolidating behind one challenger. Wasserman Schultz maintains a substantial fundraising edge and name recognition as the longest-serving Florida Democrat in Congress, while Manley has raised the next-highest amount and shown strength in some head-to-head polling. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices accounts for the fragmented field and limited time before the primary for further consolidation or shifts in voter preferences.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,152
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds the lead in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 20th Congressional District following mid-decade redistricting that shifted her into this historically Black Broward County seat after her prior district was redrawn more competitive. Multiple Black candidates—including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Dale Holness, Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, and Rudy Moise—split opposition support, with recent closed-door talks among several of them aimed at consolidating behind one challenger. Wasserman Schultz maintains a substantial fundraising edge and name recognition as the longest-serving Florida Democrat in Congress, while Manley has raised the next-highest amount and shown strength in some head-to-head polling. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices accounts for the fragmented field and limited time before the primary for further consolidation or shifts in voter preferences.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,152
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Elijah Manley" con 49%, seguido de "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" con 48%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generado $10.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Elijah Manley" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" con 48%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.